Kentucky Derby 2014 Post Positions: Latest Odds, Historical Stats for Each Slot

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Kentucky Derby 2014 Post Positions: Latest Odds, Historical Stats for Each Slot
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

The 2014 Kentucky Derby already threw us a curveball after the scratch of Hoppertunity on Thursday.

Not only does the absence of Hoppertunity change the field, but it also changes post positions and odds as well.

This shift really changes strategies for trainers, jockeys and betters, alike. Shifts in post positions will change how many horses run the race and will affect how wagers are placed on the remaining field.

Even though it's not yet May 3, the Kentucky Derby has already brought about a flurry of excitement.

Here's how the current post positions and odds look for the impending Run for the Roses:

2014 Kentucky Derby Post Positions and Odds
Post Horse Odds
1 Vicar's In Trouble 20-1
2 Harry's Holiday 50-1
3 Uncle Sigh 30-1
4 Danza 8-1
5 California Chrome 5-2
6 Samraat 15-1
7 We Miss Artie 50-1
8 General A Rod 15-1
9 Vinceremos 30-1
10 Wildcat Red 15-1
11 Dance With Fate 20-1
12 Chitu 20-1
13 Medal Count 20-1
14 Tapiture 12-1
15 Intense Holiday 8-1
16 Commanding Curve 50-1
17 Candy Boy 15-1
18 Ride On Curlin 15-1
19 Wicked Strong 6-1
20 Pablo Del Monte 50-1

The shifts in post positions after the scratch of Hoppertunity were favorable for some horses; however, due to the history of the race, others were not so fortunate.

Since Hoppertunity was originally slated in the 11th position, only the outside positions shifted after Pablo Del Monte took over the 20th position.

This move was rather favorable to Wicked Strong. Moving from 20 to 19 bodes well for the horse, as a smaller amount of ground has to be covered to get closer to the rail.

Although, Candy Boy may not be so happy with the shift due to the history of the event. The horse now sits in the 17th position. This doesn't seem so terrible; however, when looking back in time, winning from there is a rather daunting task:

Kentucky Derby Post Position Winners (since 1930)
Post No. of Winners Most Recent
1 8 1986, Ferdinand
2 7 1978, Affirmed
3 5 1998, Real Quiet
4 5 2010, Super Saver
5 8 2003, Funny Cide
6 2 1993, Sea Hero
7 6 2007, Street Sense
8 8 2009, Mine That Bird
9 4 1972, Riva Ridge
10 9 2005, Giacomo
11 2 1998, Winning Colors
12 3 1971, Canonero II
13 3 2004, Smarty Jones
14 2 1961, Carry Back
15 3 2000, Fusaichi Pegasus
16 5 2013, Orb
17 0 N/A
18 1 1982, Gato Del Sol
19 1 2012, I'll Have Another
20 1 2008, Big Brown

The 17th position is the only one that has never yielded a Kentucky Derby winner. Call it superstition or just dumb luck, but that simply doesn't bode well for Candy Boy.

Moving back to Wicked Strong's slide to the 19th position, 2012's winner, I'll Have Another, won from that same post.

In fact, although starting closer to the rail has been more successful in the past, recent history shows an outward trend.

With I'll Have another winning from 19 in 2012 and Orb winning from 16 in 2013, starting wide doesn't seem like such a detriment anymore.

Of course, the fifth position needs to be accounted for here, since favorite California Chrome will be starting there on Saturday. Since 1930, this position has yielded the second-most winners with a total of eight.

California Chrome has been absolutely dominant this year and could increase that number to tie the 10th position with nine.

The stage is set at Churchill downs, and this year's race features a very strong field. The 2014 Run for the Roses should certainly be one for the ages.

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