Predicting the Next NBA Head Coaches to Get the Axe This Offseason

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Predicting the Next NBA Head Coaches to Get the Axe This Offseason
Bill Kostroun
Mike Woodson (left) has already been canned; is Mike D'Antoni (right) the next to go?

The NBA's coaching carousel didn't take long to get underway once the 2013-14 regular season came to an end.

Within a week, Minnesota Timberwolves head coach Rick Adelman announced his retirement, New York Knicks head coach Mike Woodson got canned (along with his entire coaching staff) and the Utah Jazz announced they would not be offering another contract to Tyrone Corbin, whose deal expired at the end of the season.

Rest assured, those three teams aren't the only ones who will be looking for new leaders this summer. Remember, a whopping 13 teams entered the 2013-14 season with first-year coaches on the bench, including nine rookies.

Which coach will be the next to fall victim to an impatient owner? As FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver reveals, Las Vegas may have some insight.

"In the NBA, where about 30 percent of the league turns its head coach over every season, these expectations matter as much as reality," Silver discovered, based on data dating back to the 2006-07 season. "I mean that literally: Las Vegas's preseason over-under lines predict coach turnover just as well as actual wins and losses do."

So, with each team's regular-season record, preseason over-under line and postseason performance (when applicable) in mind, let's look at the coaches who are most likely to get the axe this summer. 

 

Note: Preseason over-under lines come from Bovada.lv (via Sports Illustrated's Ben Golliver and Rob Mahoney). Coaches are sorted in alphabetical order.

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