Assessing All 30 MLB Teams' Postseason Chances After 1 Month of Baseball

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Assessing All 30 MLB Teams' Postseason Chances After 1 Month of Baseball
Ross D. Franklin

With the first month of the 2014 MLB season nearly in the books, we have a decent sample size from which to evaluate the MLB landscape going forward.

Now, an awful lot can happen between the beginning of May and the end of the season; there is no denying that. In fact, last season was the perfect example of that.

Had the season ended on April 30 last year, the New York Yankees, Kansas City Royals, Colorado Rockies and Milwaukee Brewers would have all found themselves in the playoffs.

That being said, what follows is my attempt to peg each team's chances of making the postseason after one month of play. Here are a few guidelines/notes before we begin:

  • The total percentage for each league will add up to 500 percent, since there are five playoff spots up for grabs in each league.
  • With so much baseball left to be played, I'm not willing to give anyone a zero percent chance of making it, and I'm also not willing to go any higher than a 75 percent chance of making it. There is simply too much that can happen over the next five months for me to go any higher than that.
  • Early-season performance certainly played a role, but this is still largely based on preseason expectationsand rightfully so given the fact that we are well under 20 percent of the way through the season.

So with that, here is my take on all 30 MLB teams' playoff chances after roughly one month of the 2014 season.

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