Assigning Odds to Every Potential Indianapolis Colts 2nd-Round Pick
Most NFL franchises are spending hundreds of hours debating potential first-round picks. The Indianapolis Colts don't have that luxury, having traded their first-round pick to the Cleveland Browns last September for running back Trent Richardson.
That makes their second-round pick even more crucial.
Having a lackluster rookie class last season, in addition to Richardson disappointing in Indianapolis, means the Colts' 2014 draft class could play an even larger role quickly. It all starts with the Colts' second and third-round picks, which could yield starters in a draft as deep as the 2014 draft.
We've talked a lot about potential picks to Indianapolis, but what kind of odds do each actually have? With so many different possibilities, the Colts have all kinds of flexibility with the No. 59 overall pick. What direction will they actually go?
CB/S Lamarcus Joyner, Florida State
Florida State defensive back Lamarcus Joyner is a versatile secondary prospect that has made him a popular option among Colts fans. Joyner played both safety and cornerback in college and has the athleticism and instincts to carry that versatility into the NFL successfully.
Lamarcus Joyner will measure under 5-8 at the Combine but plays so much bigger. Overcomes size limitations. Explosive athlete. Instinctive— Dane Brugler (@dpbrugler) February 18, 2014
Joyner is small (5'8"), and not exceptionally fast (4.55-second 40-yard dash), but he has an exceptional feel for zone coverage and isn't afraid to get physical with anybody.
NFL.com's Bucky Brooks recently mocked Joyner to the Colts, and if he's still there at No. 59, his versatility would be an excellent option for Indianapolis.
Odds: 45 percent
DE/OLB Demarcus Lawrence, Boise State
Boise State defensive end Demarcus Lawrence was one of the first prospects that the Colts spent extensive time with, and for good reason. Lawrence is incredibly athletic, with the flexibility to bend at the edge and attack the passer. He's an explosive player with production in his background—having 34 tackles for loss and 20 sacks from 2012-13.
Lawrence would likely transition to outside linebacker in the Colts' scheme, specifically rush outside linebacker. Although the team drafted OLB Bjoern Werner in the first round last year, another outside linebacker is still a need. Werner's rookie season was a disappointment, and while he has room to improve, he doesn't have the pass-rushing ceiling that Lawrence does.
The problem is that Lawrence may not be there at No. 59. The Colts would likely have to move up for him, although that certainly isn't out of the question.
Odds: 15 percent
WR Cody Latimer, Indiana
An Ohio native, wide receiver Cody Latimer is now a candidate to stay in-state after attending Indiana University. Latimer has flown under the radar for most of the draft season, but has been flying up mock drafts since excelling at his pro day.
Latimer has the size and speed to potentially be a No. 1 wide receiver in the NFL. While his route-running isn't the most polished in the class, he has experience running a full tree, and was used in a variety of ways at Indiana. Latimer also is arguably the best blocking receiver in the class, something that the Colts value highly.
Strong, fast, attacks the ball well. Bit raw in routes. Top 50 player RT @eastkyhoosier: what are your thoughts on Indiana's Cody latimer— Matt Miller (@nfldraftscout) April 2, 2014
Once considered a mid-round pick at best, Latimer is now being mocked in the early second round, and even in the first by ESPN's Todd McShay in his most recent mock (subscription required). If he falls to the Colts at No. 59, he'll certainly get some consideration.
Odds: 20 percent
S Jimmie Ward, Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois safety Jimmie Ward is one of the top safeties in the 2014 draft, a draft where the Colts need to be looking at safeties. With Antoine Bethea leaving, the Colts need a safety to pair with LaRon Landry. Ward can play both strong and free safety, giving the Colts options regarding Landry's future in their defensive scheme.
Ward is a playmaker, something the Colts could definitely use in a defensive backfield that was inconsistent in 2013. But he also doesn't have prototypical size, especially for a strong safety. If the Colts see Landry as a free safety, then they may go after a more traditional strong safety in the draft, like Deone Bucannon.
But the Colts also value versatility, and Ward certainly has that. He's the kind of player the Colts could trade up for.
Odds: 10 percent
OG/C Marcus Martin, USC
My top-ranked center in the draft, USC's Marcus Martin was looked at extensively by head coach Chuck Pagano at his pro day. Martin has ideal size and strength to anchor an offensive line and could start at guard or center right away in the NFL. Martin isn't the most polished lineman, but his ceiling is high.
Would he start right away for Indianapolis? Maybe not.
The Colts have Phil Costa and Khaled Holmes competing for the starting center spot, and Hugh Thornton and Lance Louis both have shots at starting at left guard. Martin would be another name in a crowded rotation for 2014. But, the veterans there would give the Colts time to groom Martin if they so choose, rather than throwing him into the fire right away.
It would probably be a bad sign for Holmes if they drafted Martin, but the team needs to protect Andrew Luck. They can't let pride in past draft picks keep them from doing that.
Odds: 25 percent