Eric Bledsoe, Phoenix Suns: Re-signs with Suns for five years, $62 million.
There's plenty of reason to believe Bledsoe will be back with Phoenix next year, considering how well he played this year and how he was just traded for this past offseason.
If GM Ryan McDonough can get the timing right, the Suns can bring on a big-time free agent and then re-sign Bledsoe via Bird rights shortly thereafter. By offering an extra year, perhaps he would be willing to stay patient and not sign an offer sheet elsewhere. Either way, the Suns should retain him.
Greg Monroe, Detroit Pistons: Signed and traded to Dallas Mavericks for four years, $58 million.
Out of all the restricted free agents, Monroe seems the most likely to end up elsewhere. He hasn't played well next to Josh Smith or Andre Drummond, and commanding a max contract elsewhere shouldn't be tough. A team like the Dallas Mavericks would love bringing in a young franchise center, and we know Mavs owner Mark Cuban isn't afraid to spend on those in free agency.
Of course, whoever ends up in charge in Detroit won't want to lose a valuable asset for nothing. If Monroe decides he wants to form a lethal inside-outside combo with Dirk Nowitzki in Big D, he'll need to pull a power move and publicly say he doesn't want to play for Detroit while simultaneously providing the Pistons the option to deal him directly to Dallas instead.
That might be tough to swing as Detroit has the right to bring him back no matter what, but if Monroe really wants out, he might have to be vocal about it first.
Gordon Hayward, Utah Jazz: Jazz match Philadelphia 76ers' offer sheet for four years, $54 million.
Teams like the Philadelphia 76ers who have cap space but no real intention of competing next year can be a pain for teams with restricted free agents, and that might be what ends up happening with Gordon Hayward.
While Hayward isn't a true top option, he's certainly a very strong player who brings a lot of different offensive skills to the table. The Jazz really can't afford to lose assets at this stage of their rebuild, however, so it's not hard to imagine that they'll match any offer sheet Hayward signs.
Avery Bradley, Boston Celtics: Signs with Charlotte Bobcats for three years, $24 million.
The Charlotte Bobcats have made it back to the playoffs with defense, and they can continue to leverage that strength in free agency by signing Bradley. With no backup point guard on the roster and Gerald Henderson's ability to slide to the 3, Bradley could be a perfect option to take up plenty of minutes in multiple lineups, similar to how Ramon Sessions was used previously.
For Boston, it's going to be tough to let such a dynamic young wing defender go, but maximizing cap space going forward will be critical. Bradley and Rajon Rondo certainly aren't a traditional fit, and paying $8 million a year for a nonessential player can hurt a rebuilding team. This is probably the sweet spot salary-wise where Boston would really have to lean toward letting Bradley walk.
Isaiah Thomas, Sacramento Kings: Signs with Orlando Magic for four years, $34 million.
It's very possible that Orlando is holding out for the 2015 offseason to use its cap space, but Thomas might be too good to pass up for one of the lone teams that could use a quality starting point guard.
Since it seems more likely that Victor Oladipo will be a shooting guard going forward and that Jameer Nelson will be gone as soon as this offseason, Thomas could lift Orlando's offense to new heights with his pick-and-roll talents and shooting ability.
A lot will likely depend on what happens in the draft and where Australian guard Dante Exum lands. If he ends up in Orlando, then Thomas wouldn't make sense. If Orlando goes big, however, maybe it's a good fit.
For Sacramento, matching on Thomas may be difficult to justify, even if he's easily the team's second-best player. If Rudy Gay accepts his player option, there's going to be huge financial issues as Sacramento will almost certainly be a team paying the luxury tax. That's not ideal, and the emergence of Ray McCallum late this season may lead the Kings to believe that Thomas is expendable.