Miami Dolphins

Assigning Odds to Every Potential Miami Dolphins 1st-Round Pick

Andrew TornettaCorrespondent IIApril 17, 2014

Assigning Odds to Every Potential Miami Dolphins 1st-Round Pick

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    Jason DeCrow

    Last season, the Miami Dolphins shocked everyone by trading up to the No. 3 pick of the NFL draft to select Dion Jordan.

    This draft season looks like it may be just as unpredictable, as rumors have been swirling about all the different directions the Dolphins might go with the 19th overall pick.

    Alabama linebacker C.J. Mosley is one of the top names on the team's list, but the Dolphins have also been linked to North Carolina tight end Eric Ebron, Louisville safety Calvin Pryor (subscription required) and a number of different offensive linemen, including Taylor Lewan, Zack Martin and Morgan Moses (subscription required).

    In order to sort through these predictions, let's go through each possible pick and assign odds of the chances of each player getting drafted to Miami in the first round.

C.J. Mosley 3-1

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    Mike Zarrilli/Getty Images

    Two weeks ago I made the case as to why C.J. Mosley would be the best prospect for the Dolphins in the first round.

    Mosley is the best inside linebacker in the draft and would step in on day one and be the anchor of the Miami defense.

    Adding Mosley would not only give the Dolphins a major upgrade at middle linebacker, but it will also shift Dannell Ellerbe to the weak-side linebacker position and allow Philip Wheeler and Koa Misi to split time at the strong side.

    With just one addition, Miami could turn what was the major weakness of its defense in 2013 into a strength next year. 

    Unfortunately, there are 18 teams ahead of the Dolphins that could derail the Mosley-to-Miami train, which is why his odds aren't even higher.

    Among them, the major threats to draft Mosley are the Minnesota Vikings, Tennessee Titans, New York Giants and Chicago Bears.

    If Mosley can get past the top 15 picks, it should be smooth sailing right to Miami.

Zack Martin 5-1

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    David Zalubowski

    Among the national analysts, Martin is the odds-on favorite to land in Miami with the 19th overall pick.

    While he isn't one of my top two or three choices, he would still be a very solid pick for the Dolphins.

    Martin is a versatile player that has proven to have the ability to play all across the offensive line, although he has the body type that should excel at the guard position.

    He has also proven to be a tremendous leader over his time at Notre Dame and would be a welcomed addition to the Dolphins' locker room.

    Drafting Martin isn't a sexy pick, but it will certainly fill a major need for Miami and give the team a very solid player that can be counted on consistently every week.

Calvin Pryor/Ha Ha Clinton-Dix 10-1

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    Andy Lyons/Getty Images

    Two of the wild cards in the first round, it's quite possible that either Calvin Pryor or Ha Ha Clinton-Dix fall to Miami at No. 19, which will give the team a very interesting decision to make.

    With the Dolphins signing Louis Delmas in free agency, safety is not an immediate need for this season. However, Delmas has had injury problems in the past and is only signed for one year.

    If Mosley is off the board, Miami could have the decision of drafting their safety of the future or filling a pressing need on the offensive line.

    Both Pryor and Clinton-Dix would be excellent options to play opposite Reshad Jones and would give the Dolphins one of the best safety tandems in the entire league for years to come.

    At 5'11" and 207 pounds, Pryor is an extremely physical and athletic player that is dominant against the run but can also shine in coverage.

    Meanwhile, the 6'1", 208-pound Clinton-Dix excels in coverage and has great hands and an impressive playmaking ability.

    If either Pryor or Clinton-Dix is on the board, it's going to be very difficult for the Dolphins to pass on either guy considering the immense talent each player possesses.  

Morgan Moses 15-1

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    USA TODAY Sports

    I've already made the case as to why the Dolphins should draft Morgan Moses over Zack Martin.

    While it's somewhat doubtful that the team would make the same decision, it's quite possible Moses finds his way to Miami regardless.

    With such a deep draft, it's very likely that the Dolphins will be looking to trade down in the first in order to stockpile more picks for later on. 

    If a team at the back end of the first takes the bait, then Moses will likely be the best available player for Miami at their new draft position.

    At 6'6" and 314 pounds, Moses is both strong enough to dominate the line of scrimmage and long and agile enough to shut down pass-rushers coming off the edge.

    He has already shown that he can excel playing in the zone-blocking scheme that the Dolphins run and also is familiar playing for Miami offensive coordinator Bill Lazor, who was Virginia's offensive coordinator from 2010-2012. 

    Moses is an ideal fit for the Dolphins to bookend the offensive line opposite Branden Albert and could be counted on to protect Ryan Tannehill for the next decade.

Taylor Lewan 30-1

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    Jim Rogash/Getty Images

    Based on talent alone, Taylor Lewan is right up there with Jake Matthews and Greg Robinson as one of the best offensive tackles in the draft.

    But there are character concerns that may cause him to drop a bit on draft day.

    According to Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald, Dolphins owner Stephen Ross "thinks the world of Taylor Lewan" and that the high regard for Lewan inside the Dolphins "extends beyond Ross."

    That goes to show that the Dolphins would swoop right in and draft Lewan if he somehow falls to the Dolphins at No. 19. 

    The 6'7", 315-pound Lewan would be an absolute steal for Miami, as he has the ability to be a cornerstone piece of the Dolphins' offensive line for years to come.

    He is capable of playing both left and right tackle and has proven to be very effective in slowing down both speed- and power-rushers over his college career.

    The problem for Miami is that the chances of Lewan actually falling that far appear to be low.

    It will take a number of teams to deem that Lewan's off-the-field issues are too concerning, but the odds say that someone will surely take a chance on such a talented player.

Eric Ebron 50-1

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    Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

    One of the most explosive players in the draft, Eric Ebron is no doubt a top choice for the Dolphins in the first round. 

    At 6'4" and 245 pounds, the North Carolina tight end is a walking mismatch every time he steps on the field and would step in and immediately be the Dolphins' best all-around playmaker.

    Moreover, he would take a lot of safety attention away from receiver Mike Wallace on the outside to allow the Miami offense to really open up.

    However, Ebron seems to be more of a pie-in-the-sky option, as the chances of so many teams passing on such a lethal weapon seems to fall somewhere between slim and none.

    Although unlikely, the Dolphins could always make a move to trade up for him as well.

    Most likely, however, Miami will have little to no chance to draft Ebron, which is why he is the longest shot of all possible first-round picks for the Dolphins.

     

     

    Andrew Tornetta is a Miami Dolphins' featured columnist for Bleacher Report. Check out his B/R archive.


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