(Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)
"Cash Cash" Sabathia is the man on this list most likely to make me eat crow, as he's a legitimate ace in the majors, is a second half pitcher, and has a lineup behind him that should allow him to win games even without his best stuff.
CC has posted a 6-4 record, 3.67 ERA and 1.11 WHIP, to go along with 69 whiffs in 100.2 IP. This is close to but not exactly what the Yankees envisioned when they turned CC into "Cash Cash."
The question is, will he improve or get worse as the season goes on?
I say the chances are better that he gets worse. Here's why: Sabathia's currently allowing home runs on only 6.7 percent of fly balls, a number that should rise. He's also walking more batters than he has since 2005, 2.68 BB/9.
Finally, that old culprit BABIP has worked favorably for CC so far this season; currently at .256, it stands to rise somewhat toward CC's pretty well-established .295 career mark.
(Unlike a lot of hurlers I've discussed, Sabathia has enough of a history to make determinations of this sort more safely).
The evidence that he'll be just fine exists though. He's throwing hard this season, with a fastball averaging 94 MPH, and his swing and contact rates all fall within his career highs and lows.
I think the walks are the key. If Sabathia can stop walking, by his lofty standards, so many batters, the inevitable increase in hits allowed won't be damning to him.
However, if he continues to walk more batters than he has in the past, he'll find himself in a lot of high stress situations that will lead to runs and losses.