2014 Masters Tournament

Masters Favorites 2014: Final Odds and Predictions for Golf's Top Contenders

Phil Mickelson watches his putt on the 18th green during the third round of the Houston Open golf tournament on Saturday, April 5, 2014, in Humble, Texas. (AP Photo/Patric Schneider)
Patric Schneider
Chris RolingFeatured ColumnistApril 10, 2014

The time has arrived to pick a top name and roll with him in the 2014 Masters.

There's two ways to look at the betting odds surrounding the event in Augusta. One, betting on a favorite is a profitable endeavor because of the unpredictability of the field. Two, said unpredictability means an underdog can swoop in and steal the win. 

Luck certainly plays a factor, but one can reduce its role in the equation through careful analysis. Here's how Vegas feels about notable names, followed by a look at the top contenders.

 

Notable Player Odds to Win 2014 Masters
PlayerOdds
Adam Scott9-1
Rory McIlroy9-1
Phil Mickelson12-1
Jason Day14-1
Matt Kuchar20-1
Dustin Johnson22-1
Sergio Garcia22-1
Bubba Watson25-1
Henrik Stenson25-1
Justin Rose28-1
Zach Johnson28-1
Brandt Snedeker33-1
Keegan Bradley33-1
Charl Schwartzel35-1
Hunter Mahan40-1
Jason Dufner40-1
Jordan Spieth40-1
Lee Westwood40-1
Angel Cabrera50-1
Jimmy Walker50-1
Ian Poulter55-1
Luke Donald55-1
Louis Oosthuizen60-1
Patrick Reed60-1
Graeme McDowell66-1
Graham Delaet66-1
Harris English66-1
Jim Furyk66-1
Rickie Fowler70-1
Oddsshark

Full list of odds can be found on Odds Shark.

 

Adam Scott 9-1

Not many gave Adam Scott a chance last year when he took home the green jacket, but he's hard to ignore this time around.

Still, buyer beware—only Jack Nicklaus, Nick Faldo and Tiger Woods have ever won back-to-back Masters, which makes Scott quite the risk even with the favorable odds. History is a trend bettors would be wise to always take into consideration.

Scott is still an attractive bet, though, in a field where experience may reign above all else.

In a field without Tiger Woods, Scott remains an attractive and possibly lucrative option despite history. His experience and overall demeanor are simply too hard to ignore. Expect him to be in contention the entire way.

Prediction: Scott finishes in second place

 

Rory McIlroy 9-1

AUGUSTA, GA - APRIL 08:  Rory McIlroy of Northern Ireland walks across a green during a practice round prior to the start of the 2014 Masters Tournament at Augusta National Golf Club on April 8, 2014 in Augusta, Georgia.  (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)
Harry How/Getty Images

Rory McIlroy seems to be the consensus pick, which may be the globe's desire to see a new top name in the sport take over rather than his actual chances of winning.

Alas, it's hard to knock McIlroy too much. Now 24 years old, he's a few years removed from blowing a big lead at 21 years of age. He says his disappointing finish in 2011, where he dropped a four-shot lead, was the turning point of his career, per USA Today's Steve DiMeglio:

I have no ill feelings towards 2011. It was a very important day in my career. It was a big learning curve for me. And I don't know if I had not had that day, would I be the person and the player that I am sitting here? ... I learned exactly not what to do under pressure and contention, and I definitely learned from that day how to handle my emotions better on the course.

McIlroy has failed to consistently do well until 2014, where he has collected a top-25 finish in every event and three top-10 finishes. It's not outlandish to think he'll finally get over the hump and arrive as the sport's next big thing.

Prediction: McIlroy wins the 2014 Masters

 

Phil Mickelson 12-1

Eric Gay

Too easy.

Phil Mickelson has earned a top-10 finish in all but three events at Augusta since 1998. He seems to have shaken off a minor injury that forced him to withdraw from the Texas Open recently, which means he's an easy favorite to ride with.

Like the majority of the field, Mickelson does not exactly ride into Augusta with a boatload of momentum, as detailed by PGATour.com's Sean Martin:

A 12th-place finish at the Shell Houston Open is reassuring, although he could have not participated there and still been a favorite at Augusta. It's Mickelson's stomping grounds, and he'll tally another strong performance.

Prediction: Mickelson finishes in the top five.

 

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