Masters Odds 2014: Betting Advice for Latest Vegas Lines on Top Players

Richard Langford@@noontide34Correspondent IApril 9, 2014

Looking over the favorites for this year's Masters, I've talked myself out of predicting anyone. There are serious question marks hanging over all the top favorites. 

Of course, even when there aren't as many question marks, picking the winner of the Masters is typically an exercise in frustration. 

Since Tiger Woods last won the Masters in 2005, the winners have been, Phil Mickelson (twice), Zach Johnson, Trevor Immelman, Angel Cabrera, Charl Schwartzel, Bubba Watson and Adam Scott.

Save for Mickelson and Scott last year, none of these winners received much in the way of pre-tournament hype.

Will this be a year with another winner no one saw coming, or will one of the favorites step up? I'll asses the chances of the favorites below, but first, enjoy a look at all the golfers Oddsshark.com lists with odds lower than 100-1. 

2014 Masters Odds
GolferOdds
Adam Scott9-1
Rory McIlroy9-1
Phil Mickelson12-1
Jason Day14-1
Matt Kuchar20-1
Dustin Johnson22-1
Sergio Garcia22-1
Bubba Watson25-1
Henrik Stenson25-1
Justin Rose28-1
Zach Johnson28-1
Brandt Snedeker33-1
Keegan Bradley33-1
Charl Schwartzel35-1
Hunter Mahan40-1
Jason Dufner40-1
Jordan Spieth40-1
Lee Westwood40-1
Angel Cabrera50-1
Jimmy Walker50-1
Ian Poulter55-1
Luke Donald55-1
Louis Oosthuizen60-1
Patrick Reed60-1
Graeme McDowell66-1
Graham Delaet66-1
Harris English66-1
Jim Furyk66-1
Rickie Fowler70-1
Hideki Matsuyama75-1
Bill Haas80-1
Steve Stricker80-1
Victor Dubuisson80-1
Webb Simpson80-1
Source: Oddsshark.com

 

Phil Mickelson 12-1

Phil Mickelson will be entering Augusta without a win on the season for the first time since 2010. That is cause for concern, until remembering he won a green jacket in 2010, and this is Mickelson we're talking about. 

Mickelson can get hot at a moment's notice, and he's almost always a factor at the Masters. Since 1998, Mickelson has finished outside of the top 10 just three times. 

One of those times happened to be last year when he finished tied for 54th. It is safe to treat that as an aberration, however. First, consider this accurate self assessment passed along by Golf Channel's Kelly Tilghman: 

Mickelson is still more than capable of playing at an elite level, and this course suits his game well. 

At 43, Mickelson will need his body to hold up, however, and that is my biggest question mark surrounding Lefty. It was just a couple of weeks ago when he pulled out of the Texas Open with a pulled abdominal muscle

Despite the health concern, given his track record here, backing Mickelson at 12-1 is a good play. 

 

Rory McIlroy 9-1

Rory McIlroy is drawing a lot of pre-tournament buzz, but I'm not buying it. At 9-1, forget about laying any money on McIlroy. 

The Northern Irishman is having a solid season and, as Eye on Golf points out, enters this tournament with a hot hand: 

Still, he is struggling to put together four solid rounds. 

McIlroy has stumbled to a round of 74 or worse in each of his past three tournaments, and consistency has not been his friend at the Masters. 

You may remember when this happened in 2011, as McIlroy blew a 54-hole lead: 

Counting that final-round 80, McIlroy has now had a round of 77 or higher at each of the past three Masters.

I see no reason to believe he can buck that trend this year. 

 

Adam Scott 9-1

There is a lot to like about Adam Scott's chances of defending his title. As he showed last year, he can excel on this course and handle the pressure of the moment. 

Also, he's been in strong form. He's played in five PGA events in 2014, and has finished in the top 12 in four of them. 

The hesitation with Scott comes from his last performance. Scott was third in the Arnold Palmer Invitational in his last event. That is a strong finish, but he disintegrated as the tournament advanced. 

Scott surged to a big, early lead by posting a 62 on the first day. He then shot, in order, a 68, 71 and 74 and wound up blowing a 54-hole lead. 

Still, don't let this sway you away from Scott if you liked his chances. He has been putting well, and in each of his last three PGA events, he's finished with a strokes gained-putting mark of at least .641. If Scott putts well at Augusta, he will be in contention. 

The 9-1 odds on Scott are a little to low for me to recommend this bet, but it is a decent play. 

All stats via PGATour.com.

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