Trades on draft day require a unique mixture of need, apprehension, skepticism and greed. Some teams are desperate to trade up and snag their desired pick, while others are desperate to trade down and increase their assets while minimizing the risk of choosing a bust.
In 2013, there were five trades in the first round of the draft, per ESPN. There will be the exact same number this season. Here is the complete first-round mock draft with five sensible trade scenarios that work out for all teams involved.
1. Houston Texans: Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M
The guy that earned the nickname "Johnny Football" and became the first freshman to win the Heisman will be too tempting to pass up. Manziel is already a football god in the state of Texas, and he won't even have to switch his driver's license.
Manziel has the innate ability to extend plays and create something out of nothing, and this is the splashiest possible pick for a franchise in need of something to cheer about.
2. Atlanta Falcons: Jadeveon Clowney, DE, South Carolina
(Mock trade with Rams, up from No. 6; pick originally from Washington Redskins)
The Falcons lost a bunch of games just one year after reaching the NFC title game. This would be a nice move to secure the most fearsome defensive player on the draft board. Clowney could be the No. 1 pick, but the Texans will opt for a QB.
Clowney spoke to ESPN's Vaughn McClure at the scouting combine specifically about the Falcons trading up to get him, saying: "I wish they could trade up for me. But I hope I don't fall to No. 6. I like Atlanta -- a lot. They're pretty good. They've got some guys from South Carolina on the team, also. And it's close to home."
OK, Atlanta, then get it done!
3. Jacksonville Jaguars: Khalil Mack, OLB, Buffalo
With Clowney gone, the Jaguars will take the next-best defensive player on the board and wait until later for a quarterback. Getting burned by Blaine Gabbert, the 10th overall pick in 2011, will make them think twice.
Mack was a terror at Buffalo, and his skills as a pass-rusher make him a versatile threat to carry any linebacking corps. Mel Kiper has Mack as the first overall pick in his "Mock Draft 3.0" on ESPN.com.
4. Cleveland Browns: Blake Bortles, QB, UCF
Blake Bortles is like the quarterback they would send from central casting for a Hollywood movie. Standing 6'5" with a cannon for an arm, he could be the best Browns QB since Bernie Kosar.
5. Oakland Raiders: Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson
If Oakland selects Sammy Watkins, he will be the greatest wide receiver in franchise history since Tim Brown. He snagged over 100 receptions and scored 12 times last year, and he's got excellent acceleration to make plays down the field once he gets a head of steam.
6. St. Louis Rams: Greg Robinson, OT, Auburn
(Mock trade with Falcons, down from No. 2)
The Rams still need help on the offensive line, and protecting Sam Bradford should be a priority. Robinson is considered by some as the best offensive lineman in the draft, and trading down to get him makes it even sweeter.
7. Tennessee Titans: Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Louisville
(Mock trade with Buccaneers, up from No. 11)
Bridgewater threw for 3,970 yards, 31 touchdowns and only four interceptions in 2013. He's the third guy in a trio of quarterbacks expected to go in the top 10. The Titans will take him as the Jake Locker era appears to be drawing to a close, and they do not want to miss out on him if Minnesota wants to pull the trigger at No. 8.
8. Green Bay Packers: Eric Ebron, TE, UNC
(Mock trade with Vikings, up from No. 21)
This is the zany, unbelievable trade of the bunch. Yes, they are in the same division, but the Packers need a tight end after Jermichael Finley's neck injury, and the Vikings will be willing to trade down once the top-three quarterback prospects are off the board.
At 6'4", tight end Eric Ebron presents a matchup nightmare for opposing linebackers and safeties. With the emergence of "Joker" tight ends around football, players like Vernon Davis and Jimmy Graham have demonstrated the benefits of an athletic pass-catcher with a big frame. Ebron fits the mold, and every team wants a guy like him.
9. Buffalo Bills: Anthony Barr, OLB, UCLA
Barr switched to linebacker in 2012 and the transition has gone incredibly well. He was a first team All-American in 2013. This is a best-player-available selection for Buffalo.
10. Detroit Lions: Jake Matthews, OT, Texas A&M
Since they don't need Johnny Football, the Lions will take the next closest thing by drafting his offensive tackle. Jake is the son of Hall of Fame guard Bruce Matthews, and he brings the entire skill set needed to keep Matthew Stafford upright through the end of his prime.
11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Taylor Lewan, OT, Michigan
(Mock trade with Titans, down from No. 7)
The Bucs have Josh McCown at QB for the time being, so they should probably draft another QB as soon as possible. However, they will stand pat and spend a later pick on a second-tier guy like Jimmy Garoppolo, AJ McCarron or Aaron Murray. Since the team only has five draft picks in 2014, it makes sense to move down a few spots and swap with a team looking to snag one of the top three quarterbacks.
As a result, the Bucs end up with more picks and Lewan, the third-best tackle in the draft.
12. New York Giants: Mike Evans, WR, Texas A&M
Mike Evans is 6'5", so it's no wonder he scored 12 TDs on nearly 1,400 yards in 2013 for the Aggies. The Giants need to reload at wide receiver after watching Hakeem Nicks skip town, and Evans could be a game-changing presence for Eli Manning, like Plaxico Burress without the idiocy.
13. St. Louis Rams: Calvin Pryor, S, Louisville
This hard-hitter forced five fumbles in 2013 and brings a dominant physical presence in the middle of the field. He plays like his hair is on fire, and he's the best safety on the board, which is a position of need for the Rams.
14. Chicago Bears: Aaron Donald, DT, Pittsburgh
Last season, the Bears allowed 161.4 rushing yards per game, the worst mark in the league and nearly 25 yards worse than the second-worst team. Donald won the Outland Trophy and the Chuck Bednarik Award, and he would be a dream come true in the middle of the line on the Midway.
15. Pittsburgh Steelers: Hasean Clinton-Dix, S, Alabama
The Crimson Tide's defense was nothing short of fearsome the past few seasons, and Clinton-Dix was a big reason why. He had knee surgery in December, but remains a first-rounder. Being first-team All-SEC is basically the college version of making the Pro Bowl.
16. Dallas Cowboys: Darqueze Dennard, CB, Michigan State
The Cowboys struggled to an impressive extent versus the pass in 2013 (286.8 yards per game), ranking 30th in the league and only three yards per game from being dead last. Dennard won the Jim Thorpe Award last year as the best defensive back in college football, so perhaps he can teach the Cowboys a thing or two.
17. San Francisco 49ers: Marqise Lee, WR, USC
(Mock trade with Baltimore Ravens, up from No. 30)
The 49ers have a staggering 12 picks in the 2014 draft, so moving up makes sense. They could use a player to bolster their receiving corps, and the top of the draft is loaded with quality pass-catchers. Lee won the 2012 Fred Biletnikoff Award, and he won't even have to leave the state to join the pros.
18. New York Jets: Kelvin Benjamin, WR, Florida State
Benjamin has plenty of size (6'5", 240 pounds) and plenty of speed. He won the national championship and was an integral part of the Seminoles' high-powered offense. He can learn from newly acquired wideout Eric Decker and has the potential to be the finest Jets wide receiver since Al Toon.
19. Miami Dolphins: Zack Martin, OT, Notre Dame
Martin started 52 games for Notre Dame, the most in school history. He comes from a solid program, and Miami's offensive line could use fresh blood as part of the bullying overhaul.
20. Arizona Cardinals: Justin Gilbert, CB, Oklahoma State
Justin Gilbert returned six kickoffs for touchdowns in his college career. He also ran a blazing time in the 40-yard dash at the scouting combine, and this would basically mean that the Cardinals have two Patrick Petersons. That is terrifying.
21. Minnesota Vikings: Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State
(Mock trade with Packers, down from No. 8)
Carr led the Bulldogs with a spectacular 2013 season, tossing for 5,082 yards and 50 touchdowns against just eight interceptions. After the hoopla over Manziel, Bortles and Bridgewater, Carr follows closely behind as the fourth-best QB on the board. If he lasts this late in the round, it would be a great pick for the Vikes.
22. New England Patriots: Brandin Cooks, WR, Oregon State
(Mock trade with Eagles, up from No. 29)
Cooks ran a 4.33 time in the 40-yard dash. No other receiver was faster. He also claimed the Biletnikoff Award last year, so the Pats would love to snap him up here. Tom Brady cannot throw and catch passes at the same time, contrary to what some might have thought, so it makes sense to move up and get a wideout.
23. Kansas City Chiefs: C.J. Mosley, ILB, Alabama
Mosley is the reigning Butkus Award winner and a defensive anchor. For teams in the market for a middle linebacker, you cannot do much better than Mosley.
24. Cincinnati Bengals: Jason Verrett, CB, TCU
Jason Verrett won a share of the Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year even though he stands at just 5'9". His freakish athleticism has helped him distinguish himself, but NFL general managers will be concerned about his size at the pro level.
25. San Diego Chargers: Bradley Roby, CB, Ohio State
Roby was a 2012 Thorpe Award semifinalist. Playing on the Buckeyes defense, his NFL team will get a player with a complex understanding of different looks against dangerous offenses. Also, the Bolts were thin at corner all of last year, and the upgrade makes sense.
26. Cleveland Browns: Xavier Su'a-Filo, OG, UCLA
This pick originally belonged to the Indianapolis Colts, but they traded it to acquire running back Trent Richardson. Xavier Su'a-Filo started at left tackle and left guard for the Bruins, and earned second-team All-American honors. He fills a need in Cleveland and can protect the new QB as well.
27. New Orleans Saints: Ryan Shazier, OLB, Ohio State
Shazier is third on the OLB talent chart behind Khalil Mack and Anthony Barr. He showed top-notch speed at Ohio State's pro day in March by running a ludicrous unofficial time of 4.36 seconds in the 40-yard dash, per Mike Huguenin of NFL.com.
28. Carolina Panthers: Odell Beckham Jr., WR, LSU
It's a good thing for the Panthers that this draft is loaded with wide receivers, because they need one desperately. Virtually the entire roster was gutted, which was surprising since they had such a good season last year. What the 5'11" Beckham lacks in size, he makes up for in speed. He looks like a prototypical slot receiver with some big-play ability.
29. Philadelphia Eagles: Louis Nix, DT, Notre Dame
(Mock trade with Patriots, down from No. 22)
He suffered a torn meniscus in November, but his unique size and strong play at Notre Dame will make him a first-round target. The Eagles defense can use all the help it can get after the offense added Darren Sproles in free agency.
30. Baltimore Ravens: Jace Amaro, TE, Texas Tech
(Mock trade with 49ers, down from No. 17)
The Ravens' front office does not seem to be aware that receivers are important to the offense. Anquan Boldin was allowed to walk after the Super Bowl two years ago, then the team did virtually nothing to respond when starting tight end Dennis Pitta went down last year.
For all the reasons Ebron is an important prospect for teams in need, apply those to Amaro who is the second most talented guy at this position. Even with Pitta signed, Amaro provides great versatility.
The team also added Owen Daniels on a one-year contract, but he does not have anything approaching the makeup of a "Joker" tight end, unlike Amaro.
31. Denver Broncos: Kyle Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech
Fuller was a captain for Virginia Tech. He is good at defending the pass. Last season, the Broncos were not. This will provide an infusion of youth to Denver's so-so secondary.
32. Seattle Seahawks: Timmy Jernigan, DT, Florida State
Jernigan is not the biggest body at the position, but he's an incredibly strong defensive tackle who can clog the middle and shed blocks. Getting to play on one of the best defenses in recent memory should appeal to the second team All-American.
All height/weight measurements and combine information courtesy of NFL.com.
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