Every NFL draft provides surprise picks—those ones no one thought would happen despite months of speculation leading up to draft day. Some noteworthy players are picked too early, while some fall into “steal” range and are swooped up by teams as fast as NFL commissioner Roger Goodell announces they are on the clock.
Offensive tackle Eric Fisher, 2013's top overall pick, could be considered a “too early” pick. He started 13 of the 14 games in which he played as a rookie, all at right tackle, and allowed a quarterback pressure on 10.02 percent of pass-blocking snaps according to data I collected from Pro Football Focus (subscription required), which ranked 57th of 62 tackles who accumulated at least 300 pass-blocking snaps.
That’s not to say Fisher won’t become a great tackle, because he has everything you want in a blindside blocker. But he probably shouldn’t have been the No. 1 overall selection.
Here are 10 prospects who could be taken too early in the 2014 draft. How early is too early for them?