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Dwyane Wade's Absence Taking Costly Toll on Inconsistent Miami Heat

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Dwyane Wade's Absence Taking Costly Toll on Inconsistent Miami Heat
Jesse D. Garrabrant/Getty Images

The Miami Heat seem to be figuring out how to live without having Dwyane Wade in the lineup, but their postseason survival is dependent on getting the 10-time All-Star right.

Wade sat out Miami's marathon 122-121 double-overtime loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves Friday, the fifth straight game he's missed with a strained left hamstring. He's lost 25 games on the season to a medley of ailments, including nagging bone bruises in his right knee, nerve irritation in his right foot and migraine headaches.

After dropping six of the first 11 games without Wade this season, the Heat have picked up 11 victories in his last 12 absences. Spot starter Toney Douglas, acquired in a three-team deal near the trade deadline, has helped Miami tread water while Wade has endured more rigorous training sessions.

But Chris Bosh and LeBron James didn't flock to South Beach in 2010 to suit up alongside the great Toney Douglas. Heck, Douglas was no closer to Miami's back-to-back title runs than anyone with a couch and a flat screen.

Wade can be the boost this struggling Heat team (9-9 in its last 18 games) needs to pull off a successful three-peat bid—provided, of course, he's able to trade his sideline suits for some team-issued threads.

Gary Dineen/Getty Images

That wardrobe change needs to happen sooner than later.

The Heat know as well as anyone about the marathon style of the NBA season. But they also understand the difficulties involved in trying to go from zero to 60 in a flash.

Having familiarity helps, but it won't keep the Heat from needing some sort of reacclimation period—or knock off any of Wade's rust these injuries have built up.

"He's got to get his rhythm, and that's going to be the main thing," Heat point guard Mario Chalmers said, via ESPN.com's Michael Wallace. "As a player, you always want to have that rhythm going into big moments like the playoffs."

Especially when that rhythm seems so far removed.

Wade, himself, has been brilliant this season. Despite his constant shuffling between the training room and the hardwood, his production remains some of the best in the league.

He's never had a better shooting season during his storied career (54.6 percent field-goal percentage). The maintenance plan coach Erik Spoelstra has kept him on has limited his raw numbers to some extent, but his per-36-minute stats (20.6 points, 5.2 assists and 5.0 rebounds) almost mirror his career per-36-minute marks (23.9, 5.9 and 4.9, respectively).

You can question his health, cringe when he hits the deck, worry about his prolonged absences, even send out a "#VintageWade" tweet when he takes flight. You cannot, however, deny that he remains a game-changing talent when his body allows him to be one.

"Suspicion of his present abilities has been met with resounding defiance by Flash himself, who remains, when healthy, statistically dominant," Bleacher Report's Dan Favale wrote.

It sounds strange to say Wade will be searching for a rhythm that doesn't appear to have ever left, and in some respects, it probably is. With more than 26,000 minutes of regular-season action under his belt, it's not as if an NBA arena will suddenly feel like foreign territory.

But his individual rhythm isn't the concern here. It's the collective one he'll need to find with his teammates, and that discovery won't be made overnight.

"It may be a little bit of a rhythm thing," James said of Wade's return, via Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald. "It's something you can't take for granted. Obviously, we've been together for almost four years now ... [but] we haven't played as much [this season as last season]."

James and Wade haven't spent as much time together this season—not even close.

In 2012-13, the duo logged 1,932 minutes during 68 games alongside one another. This season, they've only shared the floor in 48 games for a total of 1,149 minutes.

The quantity of their shared floor time isn't the only thing missing, either. The quality simply hasn't been the same—and it's gotten even worse recently.

James and Wade: The Not-as-Dynamic Duo?
Period GP MPG Off Rtg Def Rtg Net Rtg
2012-13 68 28.4 113.9 98.5 Plus-15.4
2013-14 48 23.9 109.3 102.1 Plus-7.2
Since March 4 8 26.5 96.1 100.0 Minus-3.9

NBA.com

The plus-7.2 net rating is solid, but it's far from elite.

The pairing of Bosh and Mario Chalmers crushes that figure (plus-11.9). Of the 10 two-man Heat tandems that have played at least 1,000 minutes together this season, the James-Wade combo has only been the seventh-most efficient.

As for the minus-3.9 mark the two have set of late, well, it's every bit as bad as it sounds. Only eight teams have posted a lower net rating this season.

This isn't to suggest that the Heat are better off without Wade or that the electric guard is in some way holding James back. Rather, it's to point out the fact that his constant movements in and out of the lineup have taken a toll on this entire team.

Nathaniel S. Butler/Getty Images

No disrespect to the aforementioned Douglas, Ray Allen or James Jones, but Wade isn't the type of player you can replace with just one person. Adjusting for his absence sends a ripple effect up and down the roster.

The Heat family found a way to limit the damage done when Wade sat earlier this season, leaning heavily on Bosh and James to replace that production, as Bleacher Report's Ethan Skolnick explained:

Chris Bosh and LeBron James—mostly James—picked up more of the chores, even those that the franchise, for nearly a decade, had relied upon Wade to complete. Otherwise, too many tasks would have gone undone. They even came to appreciate the extra burden, and to appreciate the appreciation that came their way for handling it.

When Wade eventually returned, that chore list had to be redistributed. Now that he's back on the shelf, it's been divvied up once again.

What's worse, Spoelstra seems to have mere hours to decide how much, if any, Wade can handle on a nightly basis and how much he'll need to get from his other players. Wade is at the point where a day-to-day designation is simply a fact of life.

The only thing certain about him is the importance he'll play in Miami's championship pursuit:

Will James share the floor with another premier playmaker, or will he have to go back to his Cleveland days again? Can Bosh be a high-motor third wheel, or does he have to be a secondary scorer? Will Spoelstra's search for a playoff rotation only affect the second team, or might he be looking for a new starting 2-guard?

None of these questions can be answered without a solution to Wade's injury woes.

The Heat are already feeling the effects of that uncertainty, and we're still two weeks away from playoff hoops. The plot only thickens from this point on.

There are adjustments to make, rhythms to find and roles to hand out. They're just all waiting for Wade's body to give them the signal to proceed.

 

Unless otherwise noted, statistics used courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com and NBA.com.

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