Juergen Braehmer vs. Enzo Maccarinelli: Preview, Prediction for Upcoming Bout
Juergen Braehmer and Enzo Maccarinelli will clash on Saturday night at the Stadthalle in Rostock, Germany, with the lightly regarded WBA Light Heavyweight Championship on the line.
Braehmer currently holds that title, but the real WBA champion is Beibut Shumenov, and he will face Bernard Hopkins on April 19 to unify the WBA and IBF 175-pound titles.
Maccarinelli is a former cruiserweight champion from the United Kingdom. Born in Wales, he is probably best known for his huge intra-UK cruiserweight unification clash with David Haye back in 2008. He lost that fight by second-round stoppage, but he has won a variety of European, BBBofC and Commonwealth-level belts since.
Both fighters are big punchers, so this fight could get dramatic in a hurry.
Read on for your complete preview and prediction for Braehmer vs. Maccarinelli.
Tale of the Tape
All stats and information per Boxrec.com.
|Juergen Braehmer||Enzo Maccarinelli|
|Record||42-2, 31 KO||38-6, 30 KO|
|Weight||174.25 (Last Fight)||176 (Last Fight)|
|Hometown||Stralsund, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Germany||Swansea, Wales, United Kingdom|
|Last Fight||UD 12 Marcus Oliveira (12/14/13)||TKO 7 Courtney Fry (12/7/13)|
The 35-year-old German has never traveled outside of the friendly confines of his home nation for a fight, so it's understandable why he wouldn't be much of a household name in the wider world. But that doesn't mean he isn't a solid fighter.
Braehmer has faced, and beaten, many of the bigger European names between 168 and 175 pounds over the past several years, and he's currently in his second reign as world champion after toiling for years outside the spotlight. You can bet that he won't surrender his championship without a fight, because he won't get many more opportunities, and he's facing an opponent with huge chin issues.
The 33-year-old Welshman has been around for a really long time now. He made his professional debut in 1999 and quickly became one of the United Kingdom's top cruiserweights. He won his first world title in 2006 and successfully defended it four times before being knocked out by David Haye in 2008.
It's been over six years since his one and only world-title reign ended, and Maccarinelli has been knocked out four times since then. Against a solid puncher like Braehmer, he could find the road to a second world title littered with mines.
The champion is an active southpaw fighter with good power. He's won 11 straight bouts, including six by knockout, since losing to Hugo Hernan Garay in 2008. He's not your prototypical European fighter, and he has no problem making his power the decisive factor in a fight. He also has an excellent chin, having never been down or stopped in his pro career.
Braehmer has good hand speed and foot movement, and he's most effective when the fight is kept in the center of the ring. He has a good sense of distance and has a particularly dangerous left hand. If he cleanly hits you with it, there's a good chance you'll find your way to the mat at some point in the fight.
The 33-year-old former cruiserweight champion will come into this fight with a pretty significant size advantage. He's spent most of his career campaigning at cruiserweight and has only weighed in within the light heavyweight limit twice in his career.
Maccarinelli has a big punch, and he's not afraid to use it. He sets up his power shots with a good, stiff jab and fights like a tall fighter. There's not a lot in his past resume that says he'll do much beyond going in there and looking to set up a knockout, and he's been pretty good at doing just that.
The German champion is somewhat technically limited, and he's been outboxed in both of his defeats. Sure, the Mario Veit affair (later avenged) was close—and somewhat controversial—but Garay, then WBA champion in his own right, pretty thoroughly exploited his weaknesses.
Braehmer has a style that calls for him to keep the fight in the center of the ring. Against an opponent who can force him into the ropes and shoot the straighter shots through his guard, he could struggle. His chin has never betrayed him in the past, but he's facing a very good puncher this time around.
This fight seems like a bit of a dangerous one for the former cruiserweight champion. He's got excellent power but all six of his defeats have come by knockout. Some of those have been of the spectacular variety and many have questioned whether he's "too chinny" and brave for his own good
Braehmer has some very solid power, and Maccarinelli has never really shown an ability to take huge incoming shots from an opponent. He's the bigger fighter, yes, but if the German champion gets him into some trouble, it could be a quick finish.
Juergen Braehmer Will Win If...
Braehmer needs to keep this fight in the center of the ring and prevent Maccarinelli from bullying him onto the ropes. If he gets into that position, where he can't move his feet or head, he could find himself the recipient of something bigger than he's had to handle before.
No, that's definitely not the place for him to be.
Maccarinelli is an exciting fighter. He's got a big punch and a huge heart, but his chin is suspect.
That might even be too generous. He's been knocked out six times and a few of those have been pretty scary.
If Braehmer can keep the fight where he wants it, use his jab and uncork his big left hand, he should be able to put his foe's lights out.
Enzo Maccarinelli Will Win If...
Maccarinelli's best shot in this fight is to try and check Braehmer's chin early and often. The German has never been stopped, or even down, as a professional, but it's not like he's been in there with many lethal punchers.
Add Maccarinelli's huge size advantage to his power, and we could be in for some drama if he's able to connect with a few solid punches.
But he needs to force Braehmer into the ropes if he's going to be successful. If he allows him to use his footwork to avoid his punches and keep the fight in the center of the ring, it would seem that sooner or later, the Welsh fighter will get caught with something that puts him down.
No, the key here is to get the champion on the ropes and shoot straight, hard punches right through his guard. Maccarinelli isn’t going to win this fight by boxing in the center. But using his jab to force Braehmer backward is definitely key.
If Maccarinelli can do that, he can win this fight.
But only if his chin holds up.
And the Winner Will Be...
It’s hard to pick against Braehmer in this fight.
Whenever you have a solid fighter with good power, coming up against a solid fighter with a weak chin, the smart money says to go with hitting the softer target.
Maccarinelli certainly has a punch of his own. In fact, he's probably the bigger hitter of the two. But Braehmer is the fighter who has shown an ability to absorb and not just throw a punch.
The Welsh fighter has been undone on six separate occasions by his suspect chin, and that'll be the case in this fight.
Expect some toe-to-toe action from both and some big punches to land but in the end, it'll be Braehmer with his hand raised after a late-round stoppage.
Prediction: Braehmer TKO 10 Maccarinelli
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