Final Four 2014: Breaking Down Each Team's Odds of Cutting Down the Nets

David DanielsSenior Writer IMarch 31, 2014

INDIANAPOLIS, IN - MARCH 30:  The Kentucky Wildcats mascot performs against the Michigan Wolverines during the midwest regional final of the 2014 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament at Lucas Oil Stadium on March 30, 2014 in Indianapolis, Indiana.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Just because only two wins stand between each team in the 2014 Final Four doesn't mean they all have equal odds to win it all.

First-seeded Florida, second-seeded Wisconsin, seventh-seeded Connecticut and eighth-seeded Kentucky avoided elimination this weekend. But their odds of cutting down the nets aren't related to their seeding.

Here are each team's odds, according to Vegas Insider, and what they must do to fulfill or defy said odds.



Phil Sandlin

Odds of Cutting Down the Nets: 1-1

What It Would Take to Happen

The Gators need to stop Shabazz Napier from beating them single-handedly. This sounds like a basic, fairly easy goal, but it isn't. Napier did beat them, nearly single-handedly, this season on Dec. 3 when he scored 26 points.

That marked Florida's last loss. It's won 30 straight. But Napier is more than capable of exploding again.

The UConn guard has averaged 23.3 points, 6.0 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game since the start of this NCAA tournament. While it will take more than silencing Napier for Florida to win the title, he remains its greatest obstacle.



Michael Conroy

Odds of Cutting Down the Nets: 5-2

What It Would Take to Happen

Kentucky has had five future NBA players in its starting lineup all season. It hasn't had five future NBA players in its starting lineup playing well all season. Now that they are, the Wildcats will be in a race to 70 points in the Final Four.

Why 70? Well, Kentucky has lost five games since February. It's lost zero since then when scoring at least 70 points.

Considering the Wildcats have averaged 76.4 points per game on the season, and they've maintained that average over their past three impressive wins over first-seeded Wichita State, fourth-seeded Louisville and second-seeded Michigan, this goal is extremely attainable.



Jae C. Hong

Odds of Cutting Down the Nets: 7-2

What It Would Take to Happen

The Badgers need to, as Yahoo! Sports' Brad Evans put it, feed Frank Kaminsky.

Evans tweeted this before Kaminsky scored 28 points against Arizona. And if all the Badgers need him to net is 15, they're in great shape. He's averaging 22.0 points per game over the last three.

Kaminsky is 7'0". He's a capable three-point shooter, having nailed three against the Wildcats. This combination is difficult to stop, but then again, Kentucky's frontcourt is more athletic than most.



Frank Franklin II

Odds of Cutting Down the Nets: 8-1

What It Would Take to Happen

The Huskies need Napier to be the best player on the court by far, period. Sure, some help from his sidekick DeAndre Daniels would be nice. But Napier doesn't need his help in particular.

Again, Napier is averaging 23.3 points, 6.0 rebounds and 4.5 assists this Big Dance. Daniels dominated against Iowa State, scoring 27 points to complement Napier. But his underwhelming 12- and 11-point efforts against Michigan State and Villanova respectively weren't enough to hold the Huskies back.

Connecticut is the least talented remaining team, but Napier, arguably the best player in the tournament still alive, is gifted enough to mask UConn's weaknesses.


David Daniels is a breaking news writer at Bleacher Report and news editor at Wade-O Radio.