NCAA Bracket 2014: March Madness Odds and Predictions for Sweet 16 Slate

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NCAA Bracket 2014: March Madness Odds and Predictions for Sweet 16 Slate
Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports

The insanity of the first weekend in the NCAA tournament is over.

After an explosive first two days that left every bracket shredded, the weekend action was just as riveting. Three No. 1 seeds remain, which is the same amount of double-digit seeds that still have hopes of making the Final Four—two of which will face each other.

Regardless of whether your team is still in the field or not, the Sweet 16 is setting up to be one for the ages, with many of the most legendary programs in college basketball still in the hunt.

 

All Your Bracket Essentials

Whether a fan is cheering for the underdogs like No. 11 Dayton and Tennessee or one of the historically great teams like Kentucky, Florida, UCLA or Arizona, the upcoming weekend has the potential to be just as exciting as the first.

Before the next slate of games gets underway, here's a look at the odds for each team to win the national championship and predictions for some of the most intriguing matchups set to take place.

NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Schedule
Region Date Matchup Time (ET) TV Live Stream Pick
South Thurs, March 27 No. 11 Dayton vs. No. 10 Stanford 7:15 p.m. CBS NCAA.com Dayton
South Thurs, March 27 No. 2 Wisconsin vs. No. 6 Baylor 7:47 p.m. TBS NCAA.com Wisconsin
West Thurs, March 27 No. 1 Florida vs. No. 4 UCLA 9:45 p.m. CBS NCAA.com Florida
West Thurs, March 27 No. 4 San Diego State vs. No. 1 Arizona 10:17 p.m. TBS NCAA.com Arizona
East Fri, March 28 No. 2 Michigan vs. No. 11 Tennessee 7:15 p.m. CBS NCAA.com Michigan
East Fri, March 28 No. 7 Connecticut vs. No. 3 Iowa State 7:27 p.m. TBS NCAA.com Connecticut
Midwest Fri, March 28 No. 4 Louisville vs. No. 8 Kentucky 9:45 p.m. CBS NCAA.com Kentucky
Midwest Fri, March 28 No. 4 Michigan State vs. No. 1 Virginia 9:57 p.m. TBS NCAA.com Virginia

NCAA.com

NCAA Tournament Odds
Team Odds
Florida 7-2
Louisville 7-2
Arizona 9-2
Michigan State 9-2
Virginia 10-1
Wisconsin 16-1
Michigan 16-1
Kentucky 20-1
Baylor 20-1
Iowa State 25-1
UCLA 25-1
UConn 28-1
Tennessee 30-1
San Diego State 38-1
Stanford 65-1
Dayton 85-1

Vegas Insider

*All NCAA tournament odds provided by Vegas Insider.

 

No. 1 Florida vs. No. 4 UCLA

What a great tournament for the SEC. After coming into the Big Dance with only three teams (Florida, Kentucky and Tennessee), the conference has gone 7-0 during the early going.

That certainly makes up for finishing 0-2 in BCS games and losing the national-championship stranglehold on football.

And with the top overall seed in the entire field, the SEC has one team nearly locked in to make the Final Four. Florida not only embraces that pressure, but believes it has the energy to keep up with any team, as Scottie Wilbekin spoke about with the Associated Press:

We just wanted to come out and not let [Pittsburgh] play harder than us or not play as hard as we can. I think we did a good job of having our energy up at the start of the game, and we played together on offense and played together on defense.

That high-energy, fast-break style for the Gators has gotten them to this point, and it's what will lead them to an Elite Eight appearance.

Wilbekin is the clear-cut leader for the team, as the SEC Player of the Year finished with 21 points against Pitt in the third round of the tournament. But with a cast that also includes Casey Prather, Patric Young and Dorian Finney-Smith—each of whom are looking to rebound from down games against the Panthers—the Gators have talent at every position on the court.

Playing against a UCLA Bruins team that boasts great players of their own like the versatile Kyle Anderson and Jordan Adams, the Gators could have one of their stiffest tests this season. But if Wilbekin can outplay Anderson on both sides of the court, Florida should advance in a tough game for both sides.

Prediction: Florida 76, UCLA 71

 

No. 1 Virginia vs. No. 4 Michigan State

If you had just one ACC team making the Sweet 16 field in the NCAA tournament, raise your hand.

Even after a supposed down year for the conference, nearly every analyst at least had programs like Duke or North Carolina at least making it to the second weekend along with Virginia. Instead, the ACC watched the SEC run the table while it just barely stayed above .500 at 6-5 with only one team advancing.

How often does that happen? It's not very likely, as ESPN Stats & Info reports:

But even Virginia came into the tournament with questionable seeding at a No. 1, while others like Louisville and Michigan State stumbled down to a No. 4 seed. With that said, here's the Spartans' chance to prove they were worthy of a higher seed.

Former player and Laker legend Magic Johnson voiced his thoughts on this year's Spartans team:

Both teams come into the Sweet 16 with plenty still to prove, but the all-around game of Michigan State will be too much for the Cavaliers.

With offensive weapons that can potentially thrust Michigan State to a national championship, Sparty will ruin the ACC's dreams of earning another title by knocking off the last remaining member.

Prediction: Michigan State 58, Virginia 52

 

No. 8 Kentucky vs. No. 4 Louisville

It's like Christmas came early in college basketball. One of the nastiest rivalries in the sport will take place in the NCAA tournament for the second consecutive year when Kentucky and Louisville face off.

How big of a deal is this game? It's such a big deal that Bleacher Report's Adam Lefkoe has produced a movie entitled Red V. Blue solely about the rivalry.

Lefkoe gave his thoughts about the matchup this time around on Twitter:

While he admits he's leaning toward the Wildcats, one more stat might just sway the decision toward Louisville's direction, as Lefkoe points out:

With everything on the line for both teams, it will come down to which team can impose its will over the other. With the likes of both Russ Smith and Julius Randle on the court trying to get their game going, this game could be a race to 80 for the two great offensive teams.

But with Louisville playing much better defensive basketball since losing earlier in the season to the Wildcats, expect Rick Pitino to once again trump John Calipari and fight for a chance at a second straight Final Four.

Prediction: Louisville 81, Kentucky 77

 

Follow R. Cory Smith on Twitter. He hits daggers at the buzzer.

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