Sweet 16 2014: Upset Meter for Every Game

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Sweet 16 2014: Upset Meter for Every Game
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In the second and third rounds of the 2014 NCAA tournament, the lower-seeded team pulled off the upset 27.1 percent of the time. We're expecting more of the same in the Sweet 16.

Over the next eight slides, we'll break down each game, identify some potential X-factors and assign an "Upset Meter Reading" on a scale from 0 to 10 to numerically express how inevitable we think an upset is, based on what we've found. Higher numbers in the Upset Meter Reading means a greater likelihood of the lower seed advancing.

Whether you choose to side with our analysis or completely go against it based on the dreadful predictions in the round of 32 is entirely up to you. But I've got a feeling we'll do better this round.

The following slides are listed in chronological order of projected tipoff time.

 

Unless otherwise noted, all statistics are courtesy of ESPN.com or KenPom.com (subscription required). All betting lines are courtesy of Odds Shark.

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