And then there were 16.
After a chaotic four days of second- and third-round action, we’ve listed each team’s odds of making it to the Final Four. These odds are considerably more enticing than anything you might find in a sports book, because we’re making each region add up to 100 percent instead of trying to profit off impressionable fans.
In addition to how good each team looked in its first two games (or three in the case of Tennessee), we’re taking into consideration the remaining path to the Final Four. As such, this is more than just a “power ranking” of the remaining teams in the field.
For example, both Baylor and Tennessee have looked downright incredible this week. If those two teams played each other in the next round, Tennessee would probably be slightly favored.
But Tennessee has a marginally more difficult road against a Michigan team that could have been a No. 1 seed and a Louisville team that is one of the favorites to win it all. Thus, Tennessee’s odds sit at 5-1 while Baylor is listed at 7-2 for getting what we consider a more winnable Sweet 16 game against Wisconsin.
Read on for the rest of the odds. The following slides are listed in ascending order of likelihood of making the Final Four.