Creighton vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Betting Line, March Madness Analysis, Pick

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistMarch 20, 2014

Creighton's Doug McDermott (3) protects the ball from Providence's Kadeem Batts (10) during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in the finals of the Big East Conference tournament Saturday, March 15, 2014, at Madison Square Garden in New York. (AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)
Frank Franklin II/Associated Press

The Creighton Bluejays are almost two-touchdown favorites over the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns in their No. 3 vs. No. 14 matchup in the West Region on Friday.

But that shouldn't discourage potential Bluejays backers, as Creighton is 10-4 against the spread as a double-digit favorite this season.


Spread and total points scored betting line

The Bluejays opened as 13.5-point favorites; the total was 157. (Compare lines and consensus on the Odds Shark matchup report.)


Odds Shark computer pick

81.4-76.0 Bluejays


Why pick Louisiana-Lafayette to cover the spread

The Cajuns returned all five starters this season from a team that went 13-20 last year. Louisiana finished third in the Sun Belt at 11-7 and then upset the top two seeds to win the conference tournament, earning its first invitation to the Big Dance since 2005.

The 14th-seeded Cajuns were only 12-9 heading into February but won 11 of their last 13 games. And the two losses in that span came by a total of six points. Louisiana-Lafayette is averaging 81 points per game this season and shooting 47 percent from the floor as a team.


Why pick Creighton to cover the spread

With four starters back from a team that won 28 games last year, the Bluejays started 10-2 this year with wins over St. Joseph's, Tulsa, Arizona State and Nebraska and losses to San Diego State and George Washington.

The Jays then went 14-4 to finish second in the new Big East and made it to the conference tournament championship game. So Creighton is in the NCAA tournament for the third straight seasonthis time, with a No. 3 seed.

The Jays start four seniors, led by coach's kid Doug McDermott, who's averaging 26 PPG on 53 percent shooting this season.


Smart betting pick

As a team, Creighton ranks fourth in the country in shooting at 50 percent and first from three-point range at 42 percent. Meanwhile, defense isn't exactly Louisiana's strong point, as the team has allowed 75 PPG this year.

The Bluejays battled through a pretty good schedule this year, going 9-5 against teams that made the tournament. And while 14 points might seem like a lot, the Cajuns are only 1-3 ATS as double-digit dogs this season. Give the points and go with Creighton to extend the Cajuns’ tournament winless skid to four games.


Power rankings

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns: No. 23

Creighton Bluejays: No. 70 (per Odds Shark power ranks)


March Madness betting trends

  • Creighton 3-9 SU in the tournament since 1999
  • Creighton 10-3 ATS as double-digit chalk since December
  • Ragin Cajuns 0-3 SU in tournament games since 1995, all UNDERs
  • Ragin Cajuns ended year on 11-2 SU run


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