The Ohio State Buckeyes are riding a wallet-emptying 0-6 point spread slide into the NCAA tournament, but they'll get a chance to reverse that trend when they take on the Dayton Flyers in their South Region opener at the Big Dance.
Dayton has won 10 of its last 12 games and won outright five of nine times when it was the underdog this season. The Flyers get to put that upset mentality to the test against the big kids from the big Ohio school.
Spread and total points scored betting line
The Buckeyes opened as five-point favorites, and it climbed to minus-six by midday Tuesday. The total was 131.5. You can compare lines and consensus on the Odds Shark matchup report.
Odds Shark computer pick
71.9-63.9 Ohio State
Why pick Dayton to cover the spread
No. 11 Dayton arrives from the Atlantic 10 via an at-large bid and can be a real threat in this event. The Flyers not only won 10 of their last 12 on the wood, but they’ve covered eight of their last 10 nonconference games against the point spread. They’ve also been a great pick versus the spread on neutral courts, where they’ve covered four of five.
Why pick Ohio State to cover the spread
No. 6 Ohio State could show up a bit fired up after losing to hated rival Michigan in the Big Ten tournament. The Buckeyes, an easy at-large bid for the committee, have won six of their last nine straight up, and once their offense gets going, it’s hard to slow them down.
Ohio State could easily cover the betting line with another offensive surge.
Smart betting pick
The smart betting pick for this Ohio clash is to play the over, as the Buckeyes will be looking to speed this game up—something they’ve become used to in the past.
Ohio State is on an 8-1 over run in tournament play and has gone over in six of its last eight games on neutral courts. Dayton has played over the total betting line in four straight against Big Ten teams.
Dayton Flyers: No. 48
Ohio State Buckeyes: No. 97, per Odds Shark power ranks
March Madness betting trends
- Dayton finished on a 10-2 straight-up run and lost to St. Joe's in an Atlantic 10 playoff.
- Ohio State ended the year on a 0-6 against-the-spread run.
- Over is 8-1 in the past nine Ohio State tournament games.