Bracketology 2014: Buying or Selling Joe Lunardi's No. 1 Seeds

Sean ODonnellContributor IIIMarch 16, 2014

Mar 9, 2014; St. Louis, MO, USA; Wichita State Shockers guard Ron Baker (31) celebrates with teammates as the final buzzer sounds and the Wichita State Shockers defeat the Indiana State Sycamores to win the Missouri Valley Conference basketball tournament at Scotttrade Center.Wichita won 83-69. Mandatory Credit: Scott Kane-USA TODAY Sports
Scott Kane-USA TODAY Sports

Selection Sunday is now upon us as the conference tournaments reach their conclusions. There has been plenty of movement on ESPN analyst's Joe Lunardi's Bracketology rankings based on recent outcomes.

As of Sunday morning, Lunardi projects Florida, Arizona, Michigan and Wichita State to be the four top-seeded teams in the NCAA tournament. However, with some conference championships yet to conclude, some of those teams may not hold their grasps on that ranking.

Let's take a look at all four teams and decide if they will truly enter the tournament as a legitimate No. 1 seed or if they will be overtaken by another strong team instead.


South Region

Lunardi's Projected No. 1: Florida


ATLANTA, GA - MARCH 15:  Armani Moore #4 of the Tennessee Volunteers blocks a shot by Dorian Finney-Smith #10 of the Florida Gators during the semifinals of the SEC Men's Basketball Tournament at Georgia Dome on March 15, 2014 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

Florida completed its regular season with an astonishing 18-0 record in SEC play. The team currently sits with a 31-2 record and is riding a 25-game winning streak heading into Sunday's finals against Kentucky.

The Gators demolished the Wildcats in their season finale by a score of 84-65. They have continued that dominance over their two games of tournament action.

Florida's stout defense as been virtually impenetrable for opposing teams, and there is no reason to think that it will enter the NCAA tournament having suffered a loss.

No. 2 projected seed Kansas lost to Iowa State, 94-83, Saturday, so even if the Gators do suffer a loss, the Jayhawks seem to have lost any hope of overtaking them in the rankings.

Florida hangs on to the No. 1 seed regardless of the outcome of the SEC title game Sunday.


West Region

Lunardi's Projected No. 1: Arizona


Julie Jacobson/Associated Press

Arizona hasn't had much of a rough road throughout the regular season. It found a great amount of success, but it was tested on many occasions.

The Wildcats had one quality win during the regular season, beating Duke Nov. 29. However, losing to California, Arizona State and Oregon over the season's final stretch made the team's dominance seem questionable.

After defeating Utah and Colorado in decisive fashion in the Pac-12 tournament, Arizona fell to UCLA in the final by a score of 75-71.

Despite that loss, Arizona still hangs on to its top seed.

Wisconsin looked to have a strong chance of overtaking the Wildcats; however, after falling to Michigan State in the Big 10 tournament Saturday, the Badgers' shot has passed.

Iowa State took the Big 12 title Saturday after some quality wins, but it had far too much ground to cover to catch up to Arizona in the first place.


East Region

Lunardi's Projected No. 1: Michigan


INDIANAPOLIS, IN - MARCH 15:  Jordan Morgan #52 of the Michigan Wolverines dunks the ball during the first half of the Big Ten Basketball Tournament Semifinal game against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Bankers Life Fieldhouse on March 15, 2014 in Indianapoli
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Michigan has been on an absolute tear lately. The Wolverines earned the top seed in the Big 10 tournament; however, they were just able to squeeze by Illinois and Ohio State by a combined four points.

On Sunday, they face a surging Michigan State team that is coming off of a huge 83-75 win against Wisconsin. The Spartans look incredibly strong at the moment and are poised to upset the Wolverines in the final.

Villanova figured to provide some competition for this spot, but after an early exit from the Big East tournament, it can be officially counted out.

Meanwhile, Virginia takes on Duke in the ACC final Sunday. The Blue Devils have looked great lately; however, they will have their hands full against the nation's top-ranked defense. Virginia has the tools in place to contain Duke's offense and take the ACC title.

If that's the case, Virginia will overtake Michigan as the East Region's top-seeded team.

Sell Michigan here—this top spot will belong to Virginia.


Midwest Region

Lunardi's Projected No. 1: Wichita State


Mar 9, 2014; St. Louis, MO, USA; Wichita State Shockers guard Fred VanVleet (23) brings the ball up court during the championship game of the Missouri Valley Conference basketball tournament against the Indiana State Sycamores at Scotttrade Center.Wichita
Scott Kane-USA TODAY Sports

The Wichita State Shockers shocked the nation after completing a perfect season with a 34-0 record. They completed their dazzling run by defeating Indiana State handily in the MVC title game by a score of 83-69.

The knock on Wichita State is that the team hasn't played any major competition over the regular season. However, the Shockers have been absolutely dominating opponents for the entire duration, riding a solid offense and stout 11th-ranked defense to No. 1 seed status.

Duke is currently projected as the region's No. 2 seed, but the Blue Devils have their hands full with Virginia Sunday. Even if they were to come away with a victory, the team's roller-coaster second half of the regular season should be enough to keep it out of top-seed contention.

Louisville could also be considered here. After all, head coach Bobby Petrino said the team should be a No. 1 seed after its decisive win against Connecticut in the AAC finals Sunday.

That win could allow it to contest with Duke for the second seed, but Wichita State's perfect record will be enough to solidify it in the top spot.