Ranking the Top 10 Candidates for the 2013-14 Hart Trophy

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Ranking the Top 10 Candidates for the 2013-14 Hart Trophy
DAVE SANDFORD/Associated Press

Entering the final month of the 2013-14 NHL season, who are the Hart Trophy favorites? How significant is Sidney Crosby's lead, what are the chances of Alexander Ovechkin defending his title and what other potential candidates are coming out of the field?

We last took a look last January when Bleacher Report's own Jonathan Willis identified and ranked the top 10 most likely Hart Trophy candidates.

Following his footsteps, we also added the perspective of the two leading all-in-one statistics: Hockey Reference's point shares and Hockey Prospectus' goals versus threshold (GVT). These are very much like baseball's WAR (wins above replacement).

Given the estimated and contextual nature of these statistics, we also supplemented the analysis with a player usage chart of the candidates for both forwards and defensemen. Suffice it to say that we used the wide range of analytic tools at our disposal to produce these new rankings.

Using the perspective of modern hockey analytics, we can roughly establish which players are most likely to contend with Sidney Crosby for this year's Hart Trophy. Let's begin! 

 

All scoring data is from NHL.com, player usage data from Extra Skater and all other advanced statistics are via writer's own original research unless otherwise noted.

 

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