Grade One SFoster at Churchill Downs

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Grade One SFoster at Churchill Downs

Julien Laparoux tries to guide Einstein to another victory today in the 1 1/8th Grade One at Churchill Downs.

Einstein is the 2:1 morning line favorite and is clearly the horse to beat in the eight-horse field.

Alphabet Magic and Finallymade it are the two speed horses will dictate the early fractions for this race. 

Alphabet Magic is 30:1 but has one victory in one career start at Churchill.  Losing sevens pounds will only help his chances but he's never gone this gone before and that should be really hinder his chances.

Finallymade it is 8:1 but I also don't like his chances to win this race.  He's two for four at the distance but 11 of his 16 victories have been at Calder and he's never run on this track before, so, I don't see him prevailing.

The two main rivals appear to be Arson Squad and Researcher.  Arson Squad has won half his six starts at nine furlongs and should love the speed duel that will develop.  Researcher will also be within striking distance as he stalks the pace.

I expect both of these horses to have a chance to win the race.  Richard Dutrow has Arson Squad working extrememly well for this race and with Garret Gomez aboard, this is a very dangerous horse.

The horse I actually like is Asiatic Boy.  Kiaran McKaughlin has a very hot barn lately and I love that Alan Garcia is picking this mount up.

He's currently 7:2 and might go off slightly higher.  I absolutely love his five furlong work at Belmont on June 7, where he covered five furlongs in under one minute.

Asiatic Boy will edge Einstein and win this Grade One at Churchill.

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