In 2013, draft experts and amateurs alike expected the New York Jets to select an outside linebacker in the first round. They selected cornerback Dee Milliner and defensive tackle Sheldon Richardson instead.
Conclusion: It's more likely that a mock draft will be wrong than right, regardless of its source.
NFL mock drafts remind me of NCAA's tournament brackets. Anyone can prepare one. Endless arguments result. In the end, the actual results leave experts and amateurs alike scratching their heads.
Think about a mock draft as more of a conversation starter than a prediction. That's especially true before free-agent signings take place.
We've heard endless discussions about team needs. The combine has contributed hard data about draft prospects' potential. To complete the picture, we must know where free agents go.
Until that becomes clear, mock drafts are a long shot at best. Yet, in the spirit of providing grist for the conversational mil, here's my post-combine mock draft for the New York Jets.
This mock draft makes the following assumptions:
- The Jets will get Tampa Bay's third-round pick (No. 69) because of the Darrelle Revis trade.
- There is no trading of picks.
- Compensatory picks are not included.
- The Jets will re-sign tackle Austin Howard before the draft and defer a decision on guard Willie Colon.
- They will pursue veteran free agents to address their defensive secondary needs. However, they will take defensive backs in the draft as well.
- If they draft a running back, it will be because he has kickoff- or punt-return potential.
That's my story and I'm sticking to it. Check out this 2014 mock draft.
Scouting data not otherwise sourced comes from Bleacher Report's Pro Player Comparisons.
Combine workout results are from NFL.com.