Jens Meyer/Associated Press
At their best, Arthur Abraham was the better fighter than Robert Stieglitz. He was the stronger man with the more powerful punches.
But Abraham is not that fighter anymore. Stieglitz has hardly blown me away in his last two performances against marginal contenders, but in his rematch with Abraham last year, he came out smoking and kicked up the pressure when Abraham was in trouble.
Even in the first fight, which Abraham clearly won, Stieglitz appeared to have the deeper gas tank in the later rounds. A fight between a couple of bulls like Stieglitz and Abraham is likely to be a battle of attrition, so the fighter who has more left late is going to be in the best position to win.
Abraham will make a strong showing this time out and will land some significant punches in the middle rounds. But Stieglitz will separate himself late and win a close decision.
I'm picking Stieglitz, 115-113. Serious fans would enjoy seeing him in a unification bout with either Carl Froch or Andre Ward, but I'm not sure how much interest either fight would garner outside of Germany.