The 2009 Stanford St. Jude Classic Six Pack
By (Correspondent) on June 10, 2009
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How about that Tiger Woods fella'?
It's great and all that he came back miraculously to win, I just wish it wasn't by one stroke over the guy I had in my six pack, Jim Furyk.
Furyk marks the fifth player I have picked this year to come in SECOND. Thankfully, I do have five actual winners under my belt as well.
But, as they say in France, "C'est la vie."
In case you didn't know, pictured above is last year's St. Jude winner, Justin Leonard. He actually sets up well for this event and is a definite favorite to win it all.
Then there's Phil, who also looks to show up with a win this week, but his odds are too low for me to pick him.
Another guy I automatically thought of for this track was David Toms, yet alas, he is only 15:1 to win it all, so that disqualifies him from the six pack.
Another worthy competitor is Boo Weekley. I am shying away from him, as after his withdrawal from the Players Championship, the Pensacola News Journal issued a release stating that Boo has suffered a torn labrum in his shoulder.
It may need surgery, something that Boo is hoping to hold off on until the winter. Sounds too risky for my six pack.
Fear not, because after careful and insightful analysis, I was able to string together six worthy contenders for this week's tournament.
I actually had a crappy week in Yahoo! last week. I still managed to gather 92 points on the week, yet made a bench blunder by starting Ian Poulter over Luke Donald in Round One. Donald shot -8 on day one and Ian was a dismal +3
Overall, I am still in the 99th percentile ranked 932nd for the year with 3288 points. I outrank all of the Yahoo! Experts. The closest one to me is Matt Romig at 3178 points.
This field was a tough one to dissect. There is not a solid group of guys that regularly contend at the St. Jude. There are also many "unknowns" that tend to show up and do well here.
Here's my Yahoo! Lineup for this week:
GROUP A has Justin Leonard starting and Phil Mickelson backing him up on the bench.
GROUP B will see youngster Jason Day and Verizon Heritage-winner Brian Gay starting. Backing them up will be grizzled veteran David Toms (my last allowable start for him for the season), and I will also have Tim Clark on the bench.
GROUP C has the crafty Henrik Stenson starting and he will be alternating rounds with the surprising Jason Dufner.
Let's get to the six pack, shall we?
No. 1: Camilo Villegas
This marks the first week that Spiderman enters my six pack.
It has nothing to do with personal feelings—I do like him, this has just been the first week that he has stood out to me from the rest of the field.
Villegas has played well here a few times, and has been impressive over his last five outings, going 13, 37, 22, 14, 34.
I think it's time for a T10 or better this week.
His last victory came at the Tour Championship last year.
Camilo may have a weird method of aligning his putts, but the other aspects of his game are impressive.
Spidey ranks fifth on the PGA tour in GIR% at 70.28 percent. He is 13th in Par Breakers at 23.33 percent and also ranks 12th in the all-around category.
At 20:1 odds, this is a great week to take a closer look at Camilo Villegas.
No. 2: Retief Goosen
The goose is loose.
Retief is having a darn good season so far, and there was no way he was escaping my six pack this week.
Goosen has only played here twice, finishing T30 the first time and getting cut the other. In his case, I am not so worried about his past performance. It's what he is doing currently that is impressing me.
Goosen's last five events show him winning: 36,cut,11,and 22.
He is sixth on tour in holes per eagle at 99. He is currently ranked 14th in FedEx Cup points, and also is 14th in sand save percentage at 60.71 percent.
Goosen's got game, and he is going to bring it to Memphis this week.
Retief is 25:1 to win it all.
No. 3: Robert Allenby
Allenby is certainly having a quiet year compared to his white-hot 2008 campaign.
That being said, he's still a really good golfer.
Allenby was a runner up here last year and has placed in the T20 three other times.
Robert has had some recent success in his last five events. He had what appears to be a poor showing at the HP Byron Nelson Classic, thanks to a final round 75 shooting him down to T65. Aside from that, and a cut a few weeks earlier, he has made 10 out of 11 cuts and has two T14 finishes and a T38.
Allenby is fifth in total driving on tour. He also is 14th in scoring average before the cut at 69.95 strokes per round.
At 30:1 odds, I am definitely taking a swing with Robert Allenby this week.
No. 4: Brian Gay
Brian Gay is another guy who is having a fantastic year and is pretty much a six pack regular.
His runaway drubbing of the field at this year's Verizon Heritage Open in April shows that this guy can win, big time.
Gay has had a couple of hiccups lately. He missed a cut, and withdrew from the Players Championship due to illness. Aside from that was his victory, a T26, and a T27.
Brian has also played very well at the St. Jude over the years with a T4 and a T5 wrapped up with two additional top 20's.
Gay is third on tour in driving accuracy. He also is fifth in scrambling at 67.51 percent and 10th in scoring average at 69.86.
Gay's got game. The question is, will he bring it to Memphis this week?
I say yes, and at 40:1 odds, I'll take the chance.
No. 5: Fredrik Jacobson
Here's another newcomer to my six pack. My buddy Cam Stewart is rubbing off on me.
I simply cannot overlook his past performances at the St. Jude Classic. He has finished third, sixth twice, and 17th here.
He has also been relatively consistent over his past five rounds, boasting a T11 at the difficult Quail Hollow track.
Jacobson's best stat is his total putts per round of 28.26, with which he ranks 18th.
If this Swede can make the cut, I'd love to see him make a run for the trophy.
Jacobson's odds of winning are 50:1.
No. 6: Jason Day
My long-shot of the week is the young and extremely talented Aussie, Jason Day.
This will be Day's first trip to TPC Southwind in Memphis, and I'd love to see him make it a memorable one.
Day has some good finishes in his last five tries. Jason also is 15th on tour in scoring average at 69.99.
Look for Day to go low this week and look for your sports-book account to go high, as he is currently 60:1 to win.
Good luck to you all this week.
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