Regardless of the product, no consumer wants to purchase anything at full price.
Some can’t afford to pay the regular amount for luxurious items. Some yearn for the thrill of identifying a discount. Others are just easily fooled by a misleading sale.
Examining the mind of a shopper seems unnecessary while analyzing fantasy baseball, but we’re all preparing to shop for ballplayers who will capture us a championship. Spending big on brand names won’t achieve that goal.
The crafty drafter must find players who are improperly valued by his or her peers, and use that difference to secure some bang for their buck. In our case, buying low often entails dumpster diving through last year’s trash.
Many fantasy players are prisoners of the moment. A player with a steady track record doesn’t receive the spotlight of a one-hit wonder, and a star is tossed to the back of the line after one misstep. Use that to your advantage by finding those guys plummeting down the draft board.
Since there is not a large sample size of mock drafts, average draft positions (ADPs) are not always too helpful this early in the game. So along with the National Fantasy Baseball Championship (NFBC) ADPs (courtesy of NESN.com), I’ll also provide the overall rankings from two of the biggest fantasy sites, Yahoo! Sports and ESPN.
After including the rankings, it became abundantly clear that ESPN weighed last year’s offensive stats much more heavily than Yahoo! Sports. Finding hitting bargains will be much easier on the Mothership if other drafters abide by the default ranks.
When it comes to pitching, however, the opposite can be said. Either way, there are bargains to be had for savvy drafters, but how low will you go to snag a steal in 2014 drafts?
Note: All advanced statistics were obtained from FanGraphs unless otherwise noted.