Update..and for the better if you're Hoke. NSD was a success.
Michigan's miss on George Campbell, a 5-star wide receiver of the 2015 class, certainly didn't help matters. Nor did 5-star running back Damien Harris' decommitment.
Seeing two of Hoke's prime-time prospects separate themselves from Michigan just weeks prior to NSD was alarming, so much so that expecting something out of the ordinary to happen Wednesday is almost mandatory.
For now, Jabrill Peppers, the gem of 2014, seems to be a lock. Although he's firm with Hoke, Peppers could be a recruit to flip at the final moment. Sure, it's unlikely to happen—Peppers is all but Michigan's.
However, keep an eye out for late action.
And if not for Peppers, watch for Lawrence Marshall, a 4-star defensive end who once gave a verbal to Ohio State. He's most likely ironclad, but there is enough to consider him flip-worthy.
For starters, Marshall is a former high school teammate of Malik McDowell, Southfield's 5-star defensive end who's torn between Michigan State, Michigan, Ohio State and Florida State.
Should McDowell go to Columbus, Marshall may decide to follow. In the past, former high school teammates/friends have done so.
This season's NSD has an uneasy feeling. In all likelihood, Hoke will get all of his players and enter spring ball with a smile on his face. But that'd be too easy.
Don't rule out some impossible-sounding McDowell-Marshall move. If anything crazy is to happen, it's safe to say that McDowell will somehow be involved. His parents don't want him in East Lansing, per Joe Rexrode of the Detroit Free Press, but Malik wants to attend Michigan State.
His recruitment has become a circus, and a ripple effect could easily touch Ann Arbor.
Again, there is a strong likelihood that Michigan signs each of its remaining nine commits. But NSD has proven that nothing is impossible, something that you've either read or heard several times within the past few days.
UPDATE: McDowell has now signed with Michigan State according to the Detroit Free Press.