It happens every year. Teams rush out in free agency, throw cash at a player and hope it works out.
Allegedly there's more to it than that, but then you see the Indianapolis Colts sign Erik Walden to a fat contract and wonder if maybe it's all dart-throwing guesswork after all.
It's going to be even crazier after the Super Bowl, as players who might have seen modest increases in their payday could have a big game on the biggest stage and see their asking price go sky-high.
With all that in mind, we've compiled an early list of potentially risky free agents. There are red flags and warning signs. The question is, who will pay attention to them?