Super Bowl

Super Bowl Predictions 2014: Projecting How Top Prop Bets Will Unfold

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - JANUARY 27:   Super Bowl signs are seen at MetLife Stadium as the venue is prepared to host Super Bowl XLVIII between the Denver Broncos and the Seattle Seahawks January 27, 2014 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images)
Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images
Patrick ClarkeCorrespondent IJanuary 28, 2014

The importance of every play is magnified in the Super Bowl, especially for bettors.

While many will placing wagers on the big game's outcome on Sunday, Feb. 2, a seemingly endless list of prop bets will allow bettors to dive deeper into Super Bowl XLVIII's matchup between the Seattle Seahawks and Denver Broncos. 

Below, I'll predict how some of the top prop bets will play out on Super Sunday. 

*All betting odds according to Bovada.lv. 

 

Date: Sunday, February 2, 2014

Start Time: 6:30 p.m. ET

Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, N.J.

Watch: Fox

Live Stream: Fox Sports Go

Spread: Denver (-3), according to Bovada.lv.

 

Super Bowl XLVIII MVP

DENVER, CO - JANUARY 19:  Peyton Manning #18 of the Denver Broncos looks to throw a pass against the New England Patriots during the AFC Championship game at Sports Authority Field at Mile High on January 19, 2014 in Denver, Colorado.  (Photo by Justin Ed
Justin Edmonds/Getty Images

One of the most popular prop bets on Super Sunday is predicting which player will come away with MVP honors when it's all said and done. 

Not surprisingly, Peyton Manning is the odds-on favorite to win the Super Bowl XLVIII MVP Award, with 11-10 odds, per Bovada. However, after Manning, three Seattle Seahawks players are favored ahead of any other Broncos player.

Marshawn Lynch (15-4), Russell Wilson (15-4) and Percy Harvin (18-1) have the best odds to win, assuming Seattle can upend Denver for the title.

You're better off choosing between the two quarterbacks, though, as 26 of the past 48 Super Bowl MVPs (Super Bowl XII featured co-MVPs) have been quarterbacks, including the previous four (Joe Flacco, Eli Manning, Aaron Rodgers and Drew Brees).

And with Manning boasting the better numbers and elite experience, it's hard to bet against him, as former NFL quarterback Rich Gannon points out, via USA Today's Jim Corbett:

This is Peyton's third Super Bowl, and he's all about preparation. He's probably already talked to (brother) Eli (Manning) about MetLife Stadium, about the field, the wind. He'll look at common opponents the teams have played, the AFC South and the Giants. Because no one prepares like Peyton. He's amazing.

Given all that separates No. 18 from the rest, Manning appears to be the safest bet to take home MVP honors for the favored Broncos.

Prediction: Peyton Manning, Denver Broncos

 

Marshawn Lynch's Longest Rush

SEATTLE, WA - JANUARY 19:  Running back Marshawn Lynch #24 of the Seattle Seahawks carries the ball against the San Francisco 49ers during the 2014 NFC Championship at CenturyLink Field on January 19, 2014 in Seattle, Washington.  (Photo by Jonathan Ferre
Jonathan Ferrey/Getty Images

If you love to watch Beast Mode run wild, then this prop bet is for you. 

Bovada currently has the line for Lynch's longest run of Super Bowl XLVIII set at 19.5 yards. The odds are -115 for the over or the under, but the over seems the better bet.

While Denver's rush defense has been outright dominant this postseason (64.5 rushing yards allowed per game), Lynch has been every bit as impressive, and he showed against the San Francisco 49ers that he's capable of wearing down an elite front seven.

Hall of Fame running back Emmitt Smith is even in awe of Lynch's toughness, per NFL.com's Marc Sessler:

Number one, he's hard to bring down. He's very, very strong. He's a tough-nosed running back and he's going to take at least more than one man to tackle him. When I look at him running, his running style, I haven't seen anyone out there quite like him. I know Adrian Peterson is a little different, but Marshawn Lynch is a very, very tough running back.

Keep in mind that Lynch had a 40-yard touchdown run in the third quarter of the NFC Championship Game and a 31-yard touchdown rush in the fourth quarter of the Seahawks' NFC divisional-round win over the New Orleans Saints. 

Prediction: Over 19.5

 

The Weather

Jan 22, 2014; East Rutherford, NJ, USA; A general view as stadium workers clean snow from the field and stands during the Super Bowl XLVIII stadium preparations press conference at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Adding to the intrigue of Super Bowl XLVIII is the weather. 2014 marks the first time in a long time that the big game has been played outdoors in a cold-weather city. 

Therefore, bettors have even more options this time around and can wager on whether it will snow as well as the temperature at kickoff. 

According to Bovada, the odds are +200 for snow and -300 for no snow. Meanwhile, the over-under for temperature at kickoff has been set at 32 F. 

Based on the current forecast for East Rutherford, N.J. on Feb. 2, courtesy of Weather.com, you'd be wise to bet no snow. As of now, there's only a 20 percent chance of precipitation during the day with no storms on the radar. 

However, predicting the temperature will be much trickier. Below-freezing temperatures are projected for most of the week but are expected to thaw out in time for the weekend. The high temperature for game day is 37 F, but the low is set at 24 F. The temperature is likely to be somewhere in the middle at kickoff at 6:30 p.m. ETprobably right around freezing. 

With sunset shortly after 5 p.m. ET, it's not unlikely the temperature will be in the low 30s or high 20s by kickoff. Consequently, bettors would be wise to take the under in this case. 

Prediction: No Snow, Under 32 F

 

Follow Bleacher Report Featured Columnist Patrick Clarke on Twitter. 

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