We are 16 days away from the Oakland A's pitchers and catchers reporting to spring training.
General manager Billy Beane focused on constructing one of the most dominant-looking bullpens in the game, on paper, to counter interdivision rivals' moves for power in their lineups. Who will win that tug of war is one of the biggest questions heading into 2014.
Most are familiar faces, with the exception of key arrivals like Scott Kazmir and Jim Johnson.
With the trade of Brett Anderson and the loss of Bartolo Colon, it's now up to Jarrod Parker to take the helm as Oakland's ace.
Johnson replaces Grant Balfour, while Eric O'Flaherty takes a spot once filled by Jerry Blevins.
Then there's a slew of guys fighting for limited spots after Luke Gregerson, Sean Doolittle, Ryan Cook and the above mentioned Johnson and O'Flaherty.
With a little help from FanGraphs.com, let's take a look at what the 2014 Oakland A's pitchers and catchers are projected to do, and then discuss that accuracy.
You'll notice there are "Steamer" projections and "Oliver" projections. For this, the Oliver version is being used. Brian Cartwright of The Hardball Times (h/t: Cheng Sio of Bleacher Report) explains the projections to be calculated based on:
Raw statistics going back to 2007, separated by league and team, so that you can see each player’s actual performance over the past few seasons. This is followed by a single major league equivalency (MLE) for each season, in which the raw statistics have been adjusted for ballparks and leagues. Oliver uses a simple weighted mean of the previous three seasons, with aging factors and regression to the mean.
All standard statistics from previous years were obtained through Baseball-reference.com.