Super Bowl Odds: Five Reasons Denver Broncos Will Win and Cover Spread

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistJanuary 27, 2014

New York Giants' Eli Manning (10) shakes hands with his brother Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning (18) during the second half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 15, 2013, in East Rutherford, N.J. The Broncos won the game 41-23. (AP Photo/Kathy Willens)
Kathy Willens/Associated Press

The Denver Broncos are back in the Super Bowl for the first time since the final days of John Elway, when they won and covered the spread in consecutive championship games.

This time around, they've got another Hall of Famer at quarterback in Peyton Manning, but Denver is much more than a one-man show, even though that show is awfully good.

Here are the top five reasons the Broncos will win Super Bowl XLVIII and cover the 2.5-point spread at most sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark.


Eli's Older Brother

No. 18 is a four-time league MVP, soon to be a five-time MVP. He's just set new league records for passing yardage and touchdowns in a single season.

He's a coach on the field, a master of the no-huddle and nearly unflappable in his quest for success.

One of the few knocks on Peyton has been his performance in playoffs past and the fact that he's only won one Super Bowl. Now he's got a chance to pull even with his far less talented little brother Eli in the rings department, and he's favored to be Super Bowl XLVIII MVP as well.


Knowshon and Montee

A quarterback's best friend is a potent running game, and Manning has a very good friend in the two-headed monster that is Knowshon Moreno and Montee Ball. The two combined to run for 1,600 yards during the regular season and 240 yards in the two playoff victories.

Moreno suffered a rib injury in the championship-game victory over the Patriots, but we can't imagine the former Georgia Bulldog will let a little thing like that keep him from his appointed rounds on Super Bowl Sunday.

Seattle knows a thing or two about stuffing the run, but they will have to deal with Manning’s play action and his line-of-scrimmage expertise in identifying coverages. That will create opportunities to pound the ball.


The Denver Defense

Manning and the Broncos offense will get a lot of ink during the Super Bowl hype, as will the Seattle defense.

But the Denver defense has done its part, especially in recent weeks, giving up an average of 15 points per game over the last four contests, allowing a total of nine points in the first halves of those last four games.


Dear Johns

A decade and a half ago, the Broncos won back-to-back Super Bowls for quarterback John Elway. Now Denver has a chance to win a Super Bowl for John Fox, one of the best head coaches in the league.

Fox took Carolina to the Super Bowl 10 years ago and for his NFL career, he owns a 107-85 record, 34-14 with the Broncos.


Trends Say So

Denver boasts some positive Super Bowl betting trends and angles here, including a 12-3 SU run against the Seahawks dating back 15 years.

While much of that is ancient history, it remains in the psyches of both teams. The Broncos are also 9-2 SU, 8-3 ATS in their past 11 games as favorites, and they remain chalk at -2.5.

And while the two weeks before the Super Bowl is not considered a proper "bye week," the fact remains that Denver has been excellent over the years with an extra week to prepare and nurse injuries. The Broncos are 11-2 ATS in their past 13 seasons after a bye week.

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark. Follow us on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.