Who Will Be The Next Pitcher To Get 300 Wins?

Josh Dhani by Senior Writer Written on June 06, 2009
NEW YORK - APRIL 22:  CC Sabathia #52 of the New York Yankees reacts after giving up a home run by Kurt Suzuki of the Oakland Athletics during their game on April 22, 2009 at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx borough of New York City.  (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images) (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images)

Every baseball fan in the world knows that Randy Johnson won his 300th game. It is an honor to get it. It is one of the toughest things to do, especially now, with a five-man rotation, it's pretty much impossible.

300 wins means you are a champion. Like the song, Heart of a Champion by Nelly, the lyrics mean everything when you win your 300th game.

With a little help from Baseball Prospectus, I can find out who has the best and worse chances of winning 300 games. Let's go!

Well, everyone knew Randy Johnson was going to win 300 games. He was five wins away from it and look, he got it. It was just that easy for "The Big Unit".

According to Baseball Prospectus, he had the highest ERA, with 5.71, to start the season to get 300 wins. It was higher than Don Sutton, who had an ERA of 5.66. Now that we have seen him win 300, it is hard to see another.

Right now, the closest pitcher towards 300 is Jamie Moyer with 250. Guess how old this stud is? He's forty six. I was reading a Cody Swartz article about Randy Johnson getting 300 and questioning is there ever going to be another 300-game winner. Then I was scrolling towards the comments and Shane Howard, one of the best writers, and one of my favorites, on BleacherReport.com said this that made me crack up:

"From the way things stand now, I don't think anyone will get there from the current batch. Moyer can probably pitch 'til he's 60 and he'll still look decent. Maybe he'll get it. LOL."

—Shane Howard

So, can Moyer pitch until he's sixty years old? Probably not but he could. No, that would just be unnatural, too unnatural.

If Sabathia had 198 wins at age thirty four, he would have to average fifteen wins for the next seven years to get 300.

The only way Moyer could reach 300 wins is if he could play until he's forty nine or fifty years old. He would have to have ten wins in one year and then twenty in the next two years to make it. It is just too impossible. We probably might see Moyer reach 260 at best.

The other candidate: Andy Pettitte. Nope, he can't do it. He is thirty seven years old and he doesn't look like he can get it. He probably could have 250, like Moyer, at best or higher. Luckily for Pettitte, he is thirty seven years old and if he can play until he is forty six years old, he might have a chance. The chances are slim. It might be the same exact thing with the 37-year-old Pedro Martinez, who has 214 wins.

John Smoltz can't get it. He will never. At forty seven years old and with 210 wins, it just impossible for him to get 300 wins. Here are the other guys who just can't get it: 42-year-old Tim Wakefield with 184 wins, 36-year-old Bartolo Colon with 153, and 34-year-old Livan Hernandez with 151.

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written on June 06, 2009 Opinion

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