Super Bowl 2014 Lines: Complete Guide to Can't-Miss Bets

Jesse ReedCorrespondent IJanuary 23, 2014

SEATTLE, WA - JANUARY 19:  Cornerback Richard Sherman #25 of the Seattle Seahawks celebrates after he tips the ball leading to an intereption by outside linebacker Malcolm Smith #53 to clinch the victory for the Seahawks against the San Francisco 49ers during the 2014 NFC Championship at CenturyLink Field on January 19, 2014 in Seattle, Washington.  (Photo by Jonathan Ferrey/Getty Images)
Jonathan Ferrey/Getty Images

One of the reasons the Super Bowl reaches such a large audience is that the big game offers people betting on the action so many different ways to make a quick buck.    

Super Bowl XLVIII is special, too, as it features something even more compelling than usual.

Peyton Manning's Denver Broncos enter the contest as a team most non-Seattle Seahawks fans are likely rooting for, while Richard Sherman and the "Legion of Boom" has helped Seattle emerge as a villain many fans love to hate.

The two teams have combined to win 30 games since the start of the 2013 season, losing just six, and both entered the postseason as No. 1 seeds in their respective conferences.

Here's a quick look at when and where you can catch the action, followed by an examination of the most promising bets being offered for the Super Bowl in 2014:

 

Date: Sunday, Feb. 2, 2014

Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, N.J.

Start Time: 6:30 p.m. ET

Watch: Fox

Live Stream: Fox Sports Go

 

Top Bets for Super Bowl XLVIII
Lines
Over/Under: 47 pointsOver: -105Under: -115
Money LineDenver -140Seattle +120
SpreadDenver (-3)Seattle (+3)
Player Props
MVP
Peyton Manning: 6/5Demaryius Thomas: 18/1Wes Welker: 20/1Julius Thomas: 25/1
Russell Wilson: 15/4Knowshon Moreno: 20/1Eric Decker: 25/1Richard Sherman: 25/1
Marshawn Lynch: 9/2Percy Harvin: 20/1Golden Tate: 25/1Doug Baldwin: 33/1
Total Touchdown PassesPeyton ManningRussell Wilson
0: 10/10: 11/4
1: 7/21: 3/2
2: 2/12: 9/4
3: 5/23: 6/1
4: 9/24: 15/1
5 or more: 10/15 or more: 40/1
Team Props
Team to win coin toss:Denver: -105Seattle: -105
Coin toss result:Heads: -105Tails: -105
Team to score first:Denver: -125Seattle: -105
Team to score last:Denver: -115Seattle: -115
Team that scores first wins the game:Yes: -165No: +135
Team that scores last wins the game:Yes: -175No: +135
Which will be the highest scoring quarter?1st: +4002nd: +180
3rd: +2504th: +180
Will there be a scoreless quarter?Yes: +225No: -285
Will the game go to overtime?Yes: +550No: -900
Bovada

Full list of bets can be found via Bovada

 

Can't-Miss Bets (via Bovada)

Will There Be a Scoreless Quarter in the Game?

  • Yes: +225
  • No: -285

DENVER, CO - JANUARY 19:  Danny Trevathan #59 and Terrance Knighton #94 of the Denver Broncos reacts in the second quarter against the New England Patriots during the AFC Championship game at Sports Authority Field at Mile High on January 19, 2014 in Denv
Jamie Squire/Getty Images

Seattle went scoreless for two quarters against New Orleans and San Francisco, while Denver scored at least a field goal in all eight postseason quarters against San Diego and New England. 

Given the way Seattle's defense has been playing, however, pitching a shutout in four of eight quarters during the playoffs, Denver's offense is likely to get stuck in a slump at least once during Super Bowl XLVIII. 

Denver's defense has been playing well of late, as well, and it shouldn't shock anyone if the Seahawks don't score in at least one quarter. Both teams have plenty of time to study up on trends and weaknesses, which will certainly impact production.

Seattle safety Earl Thomas knows his team is going to be prepared, via Clare Farnsworth of Seahawks.com: "When you’re confident, you play confident, no matter who you’re playing. Everybody is the same. I think it’s who prepares well, and I think we prepare better than anybody."

The numbers bear out this truth, as there isn't another defense in the league that can compare to Seattle's when it comes to shutting down opposing offenses. 

With that in mind, it's a safe bet to go "yes" on the question of whether or not there will be a scoreless quarter in the Super Bowl. Every $100 bet earns you $225, which is more than double your money. 

 

Will Richard Sherman Record an Interception?

  • Yes: +200
  • No: -260

Dec 22, 2013; Seattle, WA, USA; Seattle Seahawks cornerback Richard Sherman (25) celebrates during the first half after intercepting a pass thrown by Arizona Cardinals quarterback Carson Palmer (3) (not pictured) at CenturyLink Field. Mandatory Credit: St
Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports

It's the biggest game of the year, and you can be sure the best cornerback in the league is going to show up big against Denver's explosive passing attack. 

Sherman intercepted eight passes in 2013 to lead the league—despite the fact that quarterbacks rarely attempted to challenge him—to match his 2012 season. That breaks down to an interception every couple of games, and Sherman is due for another after failing to nab one in his last three starts.

It's likely Sherman will be matched up against Demaryius Thomas for most of the game. B/R's Tyson Langland breaks down the matchup:

The third-year pro out of Stanford is physical, plays with sound technique and has great recovery speed on patterns deep down the field.

Even though Thomas has been Manning’s go-to guy all season long, the first-round pick out of Georgia Tech will have to put together the best game of his career to put Sherman in his place. Few have been able to do it, yet No. 88 has the size, speed and route-running ability to make it happen.

Peyton Manning won't likely be scared of throwing at Sherman, either, like most other quarterbacks. This means the cocky playmaker will have his chances to make a play, and given his history, it's a given he'll come up with at least one interception.

Which means you'll double your money if you bet on him to come through. 

 

Marshawn Lynch for MVP: 9-2 Odds

Marshawn Lynch has been the MVP of Seattle's offense through two postseason games, and it's likely he'll be asked to carry the team once again in Super Bowl XLVIII. 

He went off for 249 rushing yards and three touchdowns against the New Orleans Saints and San Francisco 49ers, tripling the scoring of young quarterback Russell Wilson, who managed just one touchdown in those two games. 

If Seattle wins this game, then you can be sure Lynch will have gone "Beast Mode" over, around and through Denver's defense, which has allowed just 129 yards on 34 carries (3.79 yards per carry) in its last two contests.

Pro Football Focus highlights a big reason for his success, noting his penchant for breaking tackles:

Barring a breakout performance by a Seahawks defender, it's a guarantee Lynch would win the MVP Trophy if Seattle wins the game. And at nearly 5-1 odds, the return on your investment will have you singing all the way to the bank. 

 

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