2009 Belmont Stakes

# 2009 Belmont Stakes: Winning Exacta Picks & Trifecta Picks

Touthouse HandicappersSenior Writer IJune 5, 2009

*****ATS Consultants says, “MINE THAT BIRD WILL NOT WIN THE BELMONT STAKES!” The 2009 Belmont Stakes has shaped up to be a pace-less race. With nothing to chase down on the front end and the defection of Rachel Alexandra, Mine That Bird will not be able to make his usual run. You watched Mine That Bird sit dead last in both the Kentucky Derby and Preakness nearly 20 lengths back. He’ll sit way back in the Belmont too, but won’t be able to make his usual run. This leaves the door wide open for what ATS claims will be, “Christmas in June!” ATS has the winner, exacta, trifecta and superfecta and it’s going to pay BIG!
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ATS Consultants is a featured sports handicapping firm on Touthouse.com. Be sure to Visit Touthouse.com for Belmont Stakes betting picks each year.

How to Bet an Exacta for the 2009 Belmont Stakes
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With this bet you must pick the first two finishing horses in the order of their finish. In other words, you must pick the horse that wins and the horse that finishes second.

Exacta Box - A “box” on two or more horses in a race means taking all the possible combinations of those horses in each place of finish. If you have determined that two horses are the best in the race but you are not sure which one will win and which one will finish second, then the safest bet is to do the exacta box. You can box more than two horses, but it is very important to remember that with each additional horse you add to the box that the cost of the wager goes up substantially. The formula for calculating the cost of an exacta box is (horses in box x (horses in box minus 1) x dollar amount of bet). A \$2 box of two horses would be (2 x 1 x 2) = \$4. A \$2 box of three horses would be (3 x 2 x 2) = \$12. A \$2 box of four horses would be (4 x 3 x 2) = \$24. As you can see the cost of the exacta box increases greatly with each additional horse. Also remember that you can wager a \$1 exacta box. This reduces the amount of your wager by 50% but also reduces your earnings by 50%.

Exacta Wheels - If you are confident in a horse winning a race, but may have several choices as to the second place finisher, you may elect to do an exacta wheel. If for example, you think the #4 horse is going to win and either the #2, #5, #7, or #10 horse will finish second, you could place the following wager: (\$2 exacta wheel the 4 WITH the 2, 5, 7, 10). Following the same formula for calculating the cost of the exacta wager as above we have (1 x 4 x 2) = \$8. So it will cost you \$8 to do an exacta wheel with one horse to win and any one of four horses to finish second. Another point to note is that some horses do not like to win. They allow other horses to pass them without making an extra effort to win the race. This can easily be determined by simply looking at their past performances. If for example, their racing record indicates that they have won one race and have finished second six times, you may want to place multiple horses in the win column and this “seconditis” horse in the place column. The previous wager might be (\$2 Exacta Wheel the 2, 5, 7, 10 WITH the 4).

How to Bet a Trifecta for the 2009 Belmont Stakes
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The Trifecta or triple is a bet made in horse racing to pick the first, second, and third place horses in a race.  The trifecta is the second most popular “exotic” bet in horse racing behind the exacta.  The payouts for hitting the trifecta can be astronomical.  The trifecta in the 2005 Kentucky Derby (Giacomo - Closing Argument - Afleet Alex) paid a whopping \$133,000 on a \$2 bet.

There are three types of trifecta bets; the straight trifecta, the trifecta box, and the trifecta wheel.  In a straight trifecta you are picking the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place finishers in a race and they must finish in exactly that order.  An example of a straight trifecta bet would be a \$2 trifecta ( 3-5-8).  This means that the 3 horse must finish first, the 5 horse must finish second, and the 8 horse must finish in third - any other result and you can tear up your ticket.  It takes a bold and confident handicapper to make a straight trifecta wager.  In the Trifecta box you are covering all possible combinations of your 3 or more horses.  A \$2 trifecta box using (3,5,8) would cost \$12 because there are 6 combinations of (3,5,8) coming in - 3,5,8 / 3,8,5 / 5,3,8 / 5,8,3 / 8,3,5 / 8,5,4.  If you add another horse to your trifecta box (3,5,8,1) you will have 24 combinations and your \$2 box will cost \$48 (\$2 X 24 combinations).  A quick way to figure out the cost of a trifecta box is to take the number of horses you wish to include, for example 5, and multiply 5×4

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