Seahawks vs. Broncos: Spread, Odds and Predictions for Super Bowl Matchup

Scott PolacekFeatured ColumnistJanuary 21, 2014

DENVER, CO - JANUARY 19:  Peyton Manning #18 of the Denver Broncos looks to throw a pass against the New England Patriots during the AFC Championship game at Sports Authority Field at Mile High on January 19, 2014 in Denver, Colorado.  (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images)
Justin Edmonds/Getty Images

There are storylines aplenty heading into Super Bowl XLVIII, as Peyton Manning and the AFC's Denver Broncos prepare to face off with Russell Wilson and the NFC's Seattle Seahawks. 

Manning and company set all kinds of records on the offensive side of the ball, while the Seahawks had the top defense in the NFL behind their famed "Legion of Boom" secondary. In fact, ESPN Stats & Info points out that there will be plenty of “No. 1s” to go around once the Super Bowl kicks off:

Grantland's Bill Barnwell points out that it was these exact strengths that got these two teams through their respective conference title games:

In the end, after all the talk and guessing, we got exactly what the numbers told us would happen. Seattle’s power defense jumped on the 49ers’ mistakes while Peyton Manning’s weapons were too much for the Patriots’ team of castaways, setting up a Sunday in New Jersey that has a chance to be one for the ages.

So we know what the main strengths of each team are, but what about the latest odds and spreads for the final football game of the season? Read on for some information on that front, as well as a prediction of how it will all play out.


The Necessities

Date: Sunday, Feb. 2

Time: 6:30 p.m. ET

TV: Fox

SEATTLE, WA - JANUARY 19:  Quarterback Russell Wilson #3 is picked up by center Max Unger #60 of the Seattle Seahawks after the Seahawks defeated the San Francisco 49ers 23-17 during the 2014 NFC Championship at CenturyLink Field on January 19, 2014 in Se
Jonathan Ferrey/Getty Images

Live Stream: 

Spread: Seahawks (+3) vs. Broncos, via Bovada


Odds and Spreads

While Bovada has the Denver Broncos as the three-point favorites for the time being, any spread that comes out two weeks before a game is bound to be a dynamic figure.

Basically, it will be different depending where you look, and then it will be different again when you look in the same place a few hours later. Such is the nature of betting lines, especially with the biggest sporting event in the United States as the contest in question.

R.J. Bell of Pregame and Grantland gives us an inside look at the odds at multiple sporting books, as well as an indication of where much of the betting action was in the early going after the respective conference championship titles:


Even Fox Sports was monitoring the dramatic swing when it came to the spread:

Will Brinson of CBS Sports also noticed that the betting public seemed to be behind Manning and company in the early going:

It is certainly interesting to note that there is a general consensus that sees the Broncos as favorites. Perhaps it is the nationwide appeal of Manning, but Seattle opened as the early favorites, per Mike Wilkening of Pro Football Talk. 

Denver is certainly the favorite at this point (and given the dramatic backing of the Broncos in the initial betting, it likely will remain that way), but the line is so close that it only makes sense to expect a close game.



There are multiple ways to look at this Super Bowl as it rapidly approaches.

The obvious first takeaway is to focus on the Broncos record-setting offense, and Manning going up against Richard Sherman and the league’s best defense. Even if Sherman shuts down one of the receivers on the field (for argument’s sake, let’s say it is Demaryius Thomas), that still leaves Wes Welker, Julius Thomas, Eric Decker and Knowshon Moreno to contend with.

The game may come down to whether Earl Thomas, Kam Chancellor and Byron Maxwell can stop the secondary receivers at Manning’s disposal. Of course, to call anyone on that receiving corps “secondary” is a disservice to the talent level that will be on the field.

However, don’t overlook the matchup between Seattle’s offense and Denver’s potentially vulnerable defense.

The Broncos gave up 26.6 points and 371.5 yards a game through the first 14 contests, but have turned things around in the past four (including the two postseason wins). Denver has allowed 15 points and 268.5 yards a game the last four times out.

That being said, stopping Marshawn Lynch and the Seahawks formidable rushing attack will prove to be a difficult task. Look for Lynch to gradually wear out a Broncos defense that is missing the likes of Von Miller and Chris Harris.

At some point in the second half, Denver’s defense will be so keyed in on stopping the run that Wilson will hit Doug Baldwin over the top for a critical touchdown pass against Denver’s 27th-ranked secondary in terms of passing yards allowed per game.

With a late lead, the Seahawks defense will be up to the task of stopping Manning and company on the last drive, much like it was against Colin Kaepernick and San Francisco.

Prediction: Seattle 24, Denver 21