Incredibly, we've already reached the halfway mark of the 2013-14 NBA season, which means we've seen enough basketball to make iron-clad, stone-cold guarantees about each team's chances to make the playoffs.
With only a few exceptions, the playoff picture is as murky today as it was back in October. So the best thing we can do is assign odds to each team's chances of finishing in its respective conference's top eight.
Sure, there are a handful of teams that have done enough to this point to solidify their chances. But there are also a half-dozen squads whose chances to join the postseason dance are no better than a coin flip.
Plus, almost everybody has a fighting chance in the East, where the line between the lottery and a playoff berth is practically nonexistent. Meanwhile, the West boasts something like 10 of the top 12 teams in the league but still has plenty of spots up for grabs.
These odds are based on a combination of each team's performance to this point and their forecasts going forward. Age, injuries and the lingering potential to tank are all factors here, as is the chance for a second-half surge.
There are a few teams we can safely rule out. The good news, though, is that just about everyone else is still very much in play. So before we embark on another 40-plus games, let's see where everybody stands at the midpoint of the 2013-14 campaign.