Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
There are plenty of reasons not to want to sign Kendrys Morales. He's limited defensively and would cost any team that signs him a draft pick.
And even though he's a good hitter, his production isn't all that great for someone who is limited to being a first baseman/designated hitter.
After missing most of the 2010 season and all of 2011 recovering from a severe ankle injury, Morales has posted a .786 OPS with 22 homers and 30 doubles per season in 2012-2013. That's solid production for the middle of the lineup, maybe even in the No. 5 spot.
But considering he turned down a one-year, $14.1 million qualifying offer from Seattle, his asking price will be at least that much. That is not the type of money any small- or even mid-market team is willing to spend on a pretty good hitter who doesn't offer much else.
Taking a look around the league, it's difficult to find a fit.
The Baltimore Orioles make a lot of sense in the American League, while the Milwaukee Brewers are the lone National League team thin enough at first base to pony up for Morales.
As quiet an offseason as the Brewers have had, I can't see them adding Morales, even at a reduced rate, and thinking that turns them into a playoff contender. The Orioles, however, currently look like a playoff contender. Adding another proven hitter to the lineup can only help those chances.
Ultimately, Morales will regret turning down the qualifying offer because I see him getting less than $14.1 million on a one-year deal. And if he has to take less, he'll go with the better team.
Prediction: Baltimore Orioles