San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers: Betting Odds Analysis and Prediction

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San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers: Betting Odds Analysis and Prediction
Jeff Gross/Getty Images

San Francisco has lost five of its last six playoff games on the highway, yet they're also on a 10-3-1 against-the-spread run on the road in the regular season.

The 49ers have won and covered eight of nine when laying points on the road. Green Bay, meanwhile, has failed to cover seven of eight as an underdog but has covered five of seven in the playoffs.

Since 2006, these two have gone OVER six straight meetings.

 

Packers 49ers point spread: 49ers opened as 2.5-point favorites; the total was 47.5. (Line updates and matchup report)

 

Odds Shark computer prediction: 29.8-21.4 49ers

 

Why the 49ers can cover the NFC Wild Card spread

Receiver Anquan Boldin is a playoff X-factor. He’s back in the postseason, while two teams (Baltimore and Arizona) he helped get to the Super Bowl will watch from home.

Last week in Glendale, Ariz., he hauled in nine passes for 149 yards and a touchdown. His leadership will be essential.

The absence of Clay Matthews on the Packer defense frees up quarterback Colin Kaepernick’s time in the pocket, which can prove deadly for opposing defenses.

 

Why the Packers can cover the NFC Wild Card spread

Whether or not Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is 100 percent physically, he appears to be fully prepared mentally. Sunday, he showed poise in throwing a 48-yard touchdown strike to Randall Cobb in the final minute to lead the Packers to a 33-28 win over Chicago to secure the NFC North title.

Green Bay is 8-1 SU at home to the Niners over the years. And as an underdog with Rodgers at the controls, the Packers are 5-1 ATS.

 

Smart Pick

Green Bay’s shaky defense will miss Matthews, who has a broken thumb. The Packers failed to slow Chicago’s offense Sunday, allowing it to rally with 21 second-half points, and now takes on a team that averages 25.4 points per game.

San Fran won this meeting in Week 1, 34-28, and the computer is predicting pretty much the same result Sunday.

 

Trends:

  • Teams have played six straight OVERs since 2006
  • 49ers are just 1-8 SU at Green Bay since 1996
  • 49ers are 10-3-1 ATS past 14 road games
  • 49ers are 8-1 SU and ATS past nine games as road chalk
  • Packers are 1-7 ATS past eight games as underdogs
  • Packers are 5-1 ATS as home dog with Rodgers as QB
  • Packers are 5-2 ATS past seven playoff games
  • 49ers lost five of past six playoff road games SU

 

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark—follow on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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