Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports
Travis Browne is a good fighter. He also comes from a very good camp in Greg Jackson's MMA.
That said, he hasn't really fought any legitimate wrestlers, and has never faced somebody who has the sort of experience Josh Barnett does. Once again, though, he is quite good.
Good enough, I'd wager, to survive three rounds with Josh Barnett.
If Greg Jackson knows MMA, and I'm fairly certain he does, he has been dedicating all of Browne's time and training effort to working on his bottom game and submission defense. That will pay dividends...in time.
Right now, though, he is facing the most experienced mixed martial artist in the UFC's heavyweight division. Barnett will be able to drag him to the ground, hold him down, score points and take a decision.
Yes, I know. Barnett has just four decision wins. The thing is, betting isn't about picking the most likely outcome. It's about working the numbers, and that +400 for Barnett winning by decision is a pretty good-looking number.