NFL Playoff Scenarios 2014: Predicting Final Seeding for Each Conference

Rob GoldbergFeatured ColumnistDecember 27, 2013

HOUSTON, TX - DECEMBER 22:  Peyton Manning #18 of the Denver Broncos drops back to pass during the first half of the game against the Houston Texans at Reliant Stadium on December 22, 2013 in Houston, Texas.  (Photo by Scott Halleran/Getty Images)
Scott Halleran/Getty Images

By the end of Week 17, the NFL playoff picture will be completely clear. However, there is still a lot left to be decided before that happens. 

With one week remaining in the regular season, there are 10 teams fighting for the last four spots in the postseason. Additionally, almost every single seed still can change in the final week, which makes 13 out of the 16 games on Sunday important for the postseason.

The question at this point is where each squad will end up in the final standings. While anything can happen, here is a look at predictions for the final seeds across the league.


AFC Seed Predictions
1Denver Broncos13-3
2New England Patriots12-4
3Cincinnati Bengals11-5
4Indianapolis Colts11-5
5Kansas City Chiefs11-5
6Miami Dolphins9-7

Starting at the top, the Denver Broncos have a chance to really put a stronghold on the conference. A win over the Oakland Raiders is enough to clinch the No. 1 seed and home-field advantage in the entire playoffs.

Considering how good the New England Patriots are at home—7-0 with a win over the Broncos earlier in the year—Denver will make sure to avoid having to go to Foxboro in the playoffs.

Meanwhile, the Patriots should feel the same way about avoiding a possible road game against the Cincinnati Bengals, who are also 7-0 at home this season. These three teams are all much better at home, so you should not expect any of them to rest their players in Week 17.

Still, the biggest battles will be the ones involving the possible wild-card teams. Primarily, the battle between the Bengals and Baltimore Ravens affects almost everyone in contention.

This game will come down to the ineffectiveness of the Baltimore offense, which has only scored one touchdown in the past two games. According to the team's official site, offensive coordinator Jim Caldwell took some of the blame:

There’s a number of things we can do better – no question about that. That certainly starts with me. I’ve got to do a better job of helping these guys in different situations [like on] third downs, down in the red zone and converting them, and getting ourselves in situations where we have an opportunity to start a fresh drive or a fresh set of downs.

Unfortunately, things are unlikely to change in a week. The offensive line simply does not clear enough space or protect the passer, and that will doom the squad on the road against the Bengals.

The Miami Dolphins will have a similar problem at home against the New York Jets, but the difference is that the opposing offense will not be able to keep up. Geno Smith has a 55.9 quarterback rating in road games, which will once again be a problem as the Dolphins come away with a key victory.

While the Pittsburgh Steelers and San Diego Chargers also have a chance to make the playoffs, the Dolphins win will doom them all.


NFC Seed Predictions
1Seattle Seahawks13-3
2Carolina Panthers12-4
3Philadelphia Eagles10-6
4Green Bay Packers8-7-1
5New Orleans Saints11-5
6San Francisco 49ers11-5

Like the Broncos, the Seattle Seahawks can give themselves home-field advantage throughout the playoffs with a win in Week 17. 

After the Arizona Cardinals beat the Seahawks at CenturyLink Field in Week 16, a home game against the St. Louis Rams is far from a guarantee. This is especially true considering the Rams rank seventh in the league against the run.

However, St. Louis will struggle to move the football offensively against the locked-down defense in Seattle. This will be enough to win the game and earn the No. 1 seed in the playoffs.

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - DECEMBER 15: Marshawn Lynch #24 of the Seattle Seahawks carries the ball in the third quarter against the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium on December 15, 2013 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.The Seattle Seahawks defeated the New Yo
Elsa/Getty Images

That is bad news for the Carolina Panthers, who should easily move past the Atlanta Falcons, but they will be forced to settle for the No. 2 seed. Still, everything else is pretty much up for grabs in the NFC.

The Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys will battle heads up for the NFC East title, although Tony Romo is unlikely to play with a back injury, according to Dan Hanzus of

While the Cowboys will not give up if the quarterback cannot play, Jason Witten is one person who did not seem hopeful, via Ed Werder of ESPN:

Either way, the Dallas defense will be just as big of a problem as the loss of Romo, which gives the Eagles a chance to win the division on the road.

The Green Bay Packers have also dealt with quarterback injuries, but that is all over as Aaron Rodgers is set to start for the first time since Week 9. ESPN pointed out everything you need to know about his return:

Although the Chicago Bears have plenty of big-time weapons, they will not be able to keep up, and the Packers will come away with a win.

This leaves only the final wild-card spot between the Cardinals and New Orleans Saints. Unfortunately for Arizona, the Saints hold the tiebreaker and have a relatively easy matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

New Orleans should move to 8-0 at home this season and secure a spot in the postseason.


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