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New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins: Betting Odds Analysis and Pick Prediction

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New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins: Betting Odds Analysis and Pick Prediction
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The New York Jets arrive in South Beach on a 12-3 against-the-spread roll in Miami, dating back to 1998, while the Miami Dolphins will be looking to secure a win to help out their playoff chances.

The Jets have lost eight of nine road games with several UNDER trends coming into play in this AFC East battle.

 

Jets Dolphins point spread: Dolphins opened as 6.5-point favorites; the total was 41. (Line updates and matchup report).

 

Odds Shark computer prediction: 19.3-12.9 Dolphins

 

Why the Jets can cover the spread

New York has lost four of its last six, but it's also won two of its last three and would love nothing more than to follow up last week's 24-13 win over the Cleveland Browns by playing the spoiler role to arch-rival Miami.

Geno Smith actually looked good in his team's home finale, firing two touchdown passes to David Nelson and running for another. He completed 20 of 36 pass attempts for 214 yards and also ran for 48 yards and could be out to end the season on a huge note.

 

Why the Dolphins can cover the spread

There's no better motivation than making the playoffs, and since this team is still alive, it'll be fired up after blowing its chance last week in a 19-0 loss to the Buffalo Bills. The race for the final playoff spot in the AFC is still going after the Baltimore Ravens lost to the New England Patriots, who won the AFC East.

Miami, Baltimore (8-7), the San Diego Chargers (8-7) and Pittsburgh Steelers (7-8) all remain alive. Miami won the first meeting, 23-3, in New Jersey on Dec. 1.

 

Smart Pick

While either side could be argued easily, the smart play is the total in this game, as the UNDER is very appealing. The Jets can play keep away with Smith moving the offense horizontally and employing running back Chris Ivory, who rushed for 109 yards on 20 carries last week.

The Dolphins are questionable with their quarterback situation, so they too will look to run the ball. Five of the last six meetings have played UNDER the total, while the UNDER is on a 9-1 run in Miami's divisional games.

 

Trends

  • NY Jets are 1-8 SU in their last nine games on the road.
  • Five of the last six meetings played UNDER the total.
  • Jets are 12-3 ATS at Miami since 1998.
  • UNDER is 9-1 past 10 Miami divisional games.
  • Dolphins OVER is 11-2 past 13 Week 17 games.

 

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark - follow us on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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