Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistDecember 26, 2013

GREEN BAY, WI - NOVEMBER 04:  Roberto Garza #63 of the Chicago Bears blocks Jamari Lattimore #57 of the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on November 4, 2013 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. The Bears defeated the Packers 27-20.  (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

The Green Bay Packers are 9-3 against the spread in their last 12 games against the rival Chicago Bears and 12-3 ATS the last 15 times they've visited Soldier Field.

The Packers and Bears get together Sunday in Chicago to decide who wins the NFC North this season.


Packers Bears Point spread: The point spread remained off the board as of Thursday, pending the status Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers. (Line updates and matchup report)


Odds Shark computer prediction: 24.4-23.6 Packers


Why the Packers can cover the spread

Aaron Rodgers is still very questionable for this game, but backup Matt Flynn has given the Packers some life. Green Bay earned its last two wins in comeback fashion and came within a yard of sending Sunday's game against the Pittsburgh Steelers into overtime.

The Packers rank fourth in the league in total offense and seventh in rushing, and they've won three games in a row at Soldier Field. They have also covered the spread 12 times in 15 visits to Chicago.


Why the Bears can cover the spread

Chicago ran into a buzz saw Sunday night against the Philadelphia Eagles, but it still just needs a victory Sunday to win the division title. The Bears might possess the most talented skill-position threesome in the league with Brandon Marshall-Alshon Jeffery-Matt Forte, and regardless of who's played QB, they have moved the ball.

Chicago ranks third in the league in scoring at 28 points per game and will face a Green Bay defense that's struggled mightily over the last half of this season.


Smart pick

Odds Shark's computer predicts a Green Bay victory, but the Packers are banged up. Not only could they be without Rodgers again, but linebacker Clay Matthews (thumb) will be out, per the Associated Press, and running back Eddie Lacy (ankle) is considered questionable after both re-aggravated injuries against the Steelers.

Green Bay will have a tough time, as most everybody does, dealing with the Bears' wide receiver combo, and Chicago is probably fed up with losing to the Packers on its home turf. Expect da Bears to break Green Bay's run at Soldier Field with a win and a cover.



  • Packers are 9-3 ATS past 12 games vs. Bears
  • UNDER is 11-1 past 12 meetings of Bears and Packers
  • Packers are 12-3 ATS past 15 trips to Soldier Field
  • Bears are 1-7 ATS past eight divisional games


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