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Rousey vs. Tate 2: Statistical Breakdown of Anticipated Rematch

March 3, 2012; Columbus, OH, USA; New champion Ronda Rousey  is escorted out of the arena by trainer Edmond Tarverdyan after defeating Miesha Tate during the Strikeforce Grand Prix final at Nationwide Arena. Mandatory Credit: Greg Bartram-USA TODAY Sports
Greg Bartram-USA TODAY Sports
Brian MaziqueCorrespondent IIIDecember 27, 2013

So much has been made of how much Ronda Rousey and Miesha Tate dislike each other. Not as much analysis has gone into how these two women match up inside the Octagon for their high-profile rematch at UFC 168 on Saturday.

Can Tate prevent herself from falling victim to Rousey's armbar again? Is this the bout Rousey shows off her striking skills? 

These questions won't be answered until the two meet on Saturday night at UFC 168 at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas. As the moment of truth approaches, here's a statistical look at Rousey vs. Tate 2.

 

Tale of the Tape

Ronda Rousey vs. Miesha Tate: Tale of the Tape
RouseyCategoriesTate
26Age27
5'7"Height5'6"
135 poundsWeight135 pounds
66"Reach66.5"
7W13
0L4
0KO3
7Submissions6
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
2:15Average Fight Time10:07
FightMetric and Sherdog

 

Striking

Feb 20, 2013; Torrance, CA, USA;  Ronda Rousey during today's public workout at the UFC gym for her bout with Liz Carmouche on Feb 23.  Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

Some may believe that Tate is the better striker of the two, but the numbers don't support that concept. Rousey has landed more strikes per minute, has been more accurate and has absorbed fewer strikes in her career.

Striking Numbers
RouseyCategoriesTate
1.69Strikes Landed per Minute1.57
56%Striking Accuracy40%
1.42Strikes Absorbed per Minute2.7
61%Defense45%
FightMetric

Considering this, it may not be all that risky for Rousey to spend a little time showing off her striking ability.

 

Takedowns

Feb 23, 2013; Anaheim, CA, USA;    Ronda Rousey (black shorts) and Liz Carmouche (white shorts) during their UFC women's world bantamweight championship bout at the Honda Center. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

Without a doubt, the edge goes to Rousey in this area. She seeks the takedown more aggressively. She's more successful with her attempts, and her defense against her opponent's takedown attempts has been better.

Takedowns and Submissions
RouseyCategoriesTate
8.01Takedowns Average/ 15 minutes3.46
67%Takedown Accuracy40%
50%Takedown Defense20%
8.01Submission Average2.31
FightMetric

 

Submissions

March 3, 2012; Columbus, OH, USA; Ronda Rousey wins her match against Miesha Tate by using an arm bar during the Strikeforce Grand Prix final at Nationwide Arena. Mandatory Credit: Greg Bartram-USA TODAY Sports
Greg Bartram-USA TODAY Sports

Rousey also excels in this category. All seven of her wins have come by submission—including her 2012 victory over Tate while both women were in Strikeforce. Tate does have six submission wins to her credit, but none of them has come against grapplers as experienced and skilled as Rousey.

Then again, there is no woman in the UFC as advanced as Rousey is on the ground.

 

The Bottom Line

Feb 23, 2013; Anaheim, CA, USA;    Ronda Rousey walks out of the octagon after her victory over Liz Carmouche (not pictured) in their UFC women's world bantamweight championship bout at the Honda Center. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sport
Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

It's hard to see a scenario where Tate wins this fight. I know she's been working on her submission defense, but the truth is that she picked up martial arts late compared to Rousey. The champion has been honing her skills since she was a child. 

We've yet to see the woman who has the technical mastery or physical strength to defeat the UFC women's bantamweight champion. 

Rousey should win again by submission.

 

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