Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

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Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction
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The Broncos are on a 7-3 against-the-spread run in Northern California and have won 10 of their last 11 divisional games. Since 2007, in six games as a double-digit home dog, the Raiders have stayed UNDER in five of those games.

 

Broncos-Raiders Point spread: Broncos opened as 11.5-point favorites; the total was 53.5. (Line updates and matchup report)

 

Odds Shark computer prediction: 37.5-19.1 Broncos

 

Why the Broncos can cover the spread

While the Raiders' question mark at the quarterback spot has been answered, the Broncos have one in front of them. Should they start Peyton Manning or rest him? With last week's win over Houston, Denver won the AFC West and clinched a first-round bye.

At worst, it'll be the No. 2 seed in the AFC. That being said, can anyone see Manning not playing in this game? Or at least treating it like Week 3 of the exhibition?

He won't allow Denver to become complacent and will want to win the top seed and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.

 

Why the Raiders can cover the spread

They have a definitive answer at the quarterback spot for Week 17, as Terrelle Pryor has been named the starter by head coach Dennis Allen. It will be Pryor's first start since Week 10, and it alleviates any question of having two QBs sharing the duties during the game.

The Raiders are 3-5 in the eight games Pryor made starts in this season. With this being at home and against a heated rival, it's never wrong to consider a double-digit home pup.

 

Smart Pick

It's a given that Denver could have problems with Brock Osweiler under center against a physical division rival like the Raiders. And with how the Broncos have played in their losses, earning the No. 1 seed has to be a priority.

Benching Manning shouldn't even be a topic of conversation. Denver won the first meeting, 37-21, way back on Sept. 23. The Broncos' No. 1 scoring offense will be too much for the Raiders to contend with.

 

Trends:

  • Broncos are 7-3 ATS past 10 trips to Oakland
  • Broncos are 10-1 SU past 11 divisional games
  • In six games as double-digit home dogs since 2007, Raiders are 5-1 favoring the UNDER
  • Broncos OVER is 11-2 past 13 games in Week 17

 

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark - follow us on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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