We now have a strong idea of where every team will make their selection in the 2014 NFL draft with one week left in the season, provided they have one to use.
Week 16 did much to sort out the draft list, which gives fans a brief amount of time to digest where their favorite team picks before Week 17 hits and potentially causes another upheaval.
Which it will. For now, we can accurately list the order and get a good sense of a projected final order through careful analysis of remaining games, tiebreakers and the like. Here is how things shape up, both officially and with projections, with one week to go.
|2014 NFL Draft Order and Projections|
|No.||Official Order After Week 16||Projected Final Order|
|1||Houston Texans||Houston Texans|
|2||St. Louis Rams (from Washington)||St. Louis Rams (from Washington)|
|3||Jacksonville Jaguars||Minnesota Vikings|
|4||Oakland Raiders||Atlanta Falcons|
|5||Cleveland Browns||Oakland Raiders|
|6||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||Tampa Bay Buccaneers|
|7||Atlanta Falcons||Pittsburgh Steelers|
|8||Minnesota Vikings||Jacksonville Jaguars|
|9||Tennessee Titans||Cleveland Browns|
|10||New York Giants||New York Giants|
|11||Buffalo Bills||Tennessee Titans|
|12||Detroit Lions||Buffalo Bills|
|13||Pittsburgh Steelers||New York Jets|
|14||New York Jets||Green Bay Packers|
|15||St. Louis Rams||Detroit Lions|
|16||Green Bay Packers||St. Louis Rams|
|17||Dallas Cowboys||Baltimore Ravens|
|18||Baltimore Ravens||Chicago Bears|
|19||San Diego Chargers||Dallas Cowboys|
|20||Miami Dolphins||Miami Dolphins|
|21||Chicago Bears||Philadelphia Eagles|
|22||Philadelphia Eagles||San Diego Chargers|
|23||Cincinnati Bengals||Cleveland Browns (from Indianapolis)|
|24||Cleveland Browns (from Indianapolis)||San Francisco 49ers|
|25||Arizona Cardinals||New Orleans Saints|
|26||New Orleans Saints||Arizona Cardinals|
|27||San Francisco 49ers||Cincinnati Bengals|
|28||Kansas City Chiefs||Carolina Panthers|
|29||New England Patriots||New England Patriots|
|30||Carolina Panthers||Kansas City Chiefs|
|31||Denver Broncos||Seattle Seahawks|
|32||Seattle Seahawks||Denver Broncos|
Week 17 Contests That Could Most Alter Draft Order
Washington Redskins vs. New York Giants
The St. Louis Rams are doing a quality job of sticking around in the top-10 discussion with their own pick thanks to horrid play, but they never in 1,000 years could have imagined the Washington Redskins may net them a top-two pick in the 2014 draft.
Alas, that is where Robert Griffin III and coach Mike Shanahan's circus have the Rams looking at through 16 weeks.
However, St. Louis' plan for a top-two pick could be foiled when the Redskins make the trip to New York to take on the Giants, a team that at some points has looked equally as horrible. These two met in a Week 13 stinker, where New York escaped with a seven-point win.
This one will be just as bad with Washington rolling with a backup quarterback in Kirk Cousins and Eli Manning continuing his laughably bad play—he's now at an impressive 16 touchdowns to 25 interceptions on the year.
It does not matter—the Rams will tune in attentively regardless of quality.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville is a wild card in all of this (not of the playoff variety, silly) because of a few factors.
For one, the Jaguars have been relatively competitive as of late, winning three of their last five. Two straight losses have been by a touchdown or less.
Two, the Indianapolis Colts are mostly notorious for playing up and down to competition this year. That would explain a 38-8 loss to St. Louis in Week 10, but a 23-7 win over Kansas City in Week 16.
So yes, the Jaguars can very much beat the Colts at home to close the season, and yes, it would add even more chaos to the draft order. Jacksonville sits firmly in the No. 2-7 range, but its movement will either anger or make many other teams happy once Week 17 is in the books.
Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans
This is the type of torture dedicated fans must endure to be rewarded on draft day.
The Houston Texans are making it a wee bit too obvious they want the No. 1 overall pick. They have lost 13 straight, but one of their two wins this season came over the Tennessee Titans in Week 2 via a 30-24 overtime result.
Tennessee itself is doing a good job of sticking around in the top 10, winning just three games since Week 5.
But the real focus is on Houston, a franchise seemingly destined for the No. 1 overall pick. Not only that, but Houston's win or loss here will have a major ripple effect on the draft order, as CBS Sports' Dan Brugler elaborates:
Once again, the Rams will have the biggest rooting interest of all in a game outside of their own. Despite the horrible streak, Houston is more than capable of pulling off a win on the road against a team that it already defeated and is even worse now with Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback.