NFL Spreads Week 16: Underdogs Sure to Upset the Odds This Weekend

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NFL Spreads Week 16: Underdogs Sure to Upset the Odds This Weekend
Melina Vastola-USA TODAY Sports

You better hurry. You've only got two more weeks left in the rest of the NFL regular season to pad your pocketbook. After all, gold-plated toilets don't come cheap.

There are plenty of intriguing lines on the schedule this week. This late into the season, you can take nothing for granted. Just because you've seen a team for 15 weeks doesn't mean you can say for sure how well it'll perform in Week 16.

If this season has proved anything, it's that there is no such thing as easy money. In order to properly place your bets, you need to do your homework and maybe take a chance here and there.

In order to better prepare you for the action ahead, here's a look at the lines for all 16 games this weekend. Odds are courtesy of OddsAndScores.com.

Week 16 ATS Picks
Home Team Away Team Line O/U Pick (ATS)
Buffalo Bills Miami Dolphins MIA -2.5 43 MIA
Carolina Panthers New Orleans Saints CAR -3 45 CAR
Cincinnati Bengals Minnesota Vikings CIN -8.5 48 CIN
Houston Texans Denver Broncos DEN -10 53 HOU
Jacksonville Jaguars Tennessee Titans TEN -4.5 44 JAX
Kansas City Chiefs Indianapolis Colts KC -6.5 46.5 KC
Washington Redskins Dallas Cowboys DAL 3 53 DAL
New York Jets Cleveland Browns NYJ -1 41.5 NYJ
St. Louis Rams Tampa Bay Buccaneers STL -4.5 43 TB
Seattle Seahawks Arizona Cardinals SEA -10 43 SEA
Detroit Lions New York Giants DET -10 49 DET
Baltimore Ravens New England Patriots BAL -2 45 BAL
San Diego Chargers Oakland Raiders SD -9.5 50.5 SD
Green Bay Packers Pittsburgh Steelers GB -1 44.5
Philadelphia Eagles Chicago Bears PHI -3 55.5 PHI
San Francisco 49ers Atlanta Falcons SF -14 45 ATL

Betting lines via ScoresAndOdds.com

Listed below are three teams that have the best chance of beating the odds.

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers aren't the mess they were earlier in the season. They're 4-2 in their last six games, with the two losses coming to the Carolina Panthers and San Francisco 49ers—two of the best teams in the league.

The Bucs have been an abysmal 1-5 on the road this year, so there is some cause for concern.

By playing in the Edward Jones Dome, at least Tampa won't have to worry about the elements coming into play. That should benefit Mike Glennon, whose numbers are better during indoor games. The key will be providing him with enough time in the pocket. Pro Football Focus noted that he's seeing heavy pressure quite often.

It's a bridge too far to expect the Buccaneers to win. But with their improvement in the second half and the unpredictability of the St. Louis Rams, this game could easily be decided by a field goal or less.

 

Atlanta Falcons

Daniel Shirey-USA TODAY Sports

Revenge can be a strong motivating factor.

The Atlanta Falcons have nothing to play for this season aside from avenging their loss in the 2012 NFC Championship Game and playing spoiler for teams already headed to the postseason.

It won't make up for missing out on the playoffs, but beating the San Francisco 49ers will give the Falcons a tiny bit of satisfaction.

That's why it's a bit surprising the line for this game is minus-14. Certainly San Francisco deserves to be favored, and playing at home means a boost in terms of the line, but still, that's an awfully big spread to have.

It wouldn't appear Matt Ryan is in bad health, either. Even after all the hits he's taken in the pocket, he said, "I feel good. I really do. I feel good at this point. My body feels as healthy as it possibly can. I’ve been taking good care of myself this year. So, at this point I feel good," via the Atlanta Journal-Constitution's D. Orlando Ledbetter.

Although they've been racked with injuries, the Falcons haven't been playing up to their potential. With nothing to lose in this game, they'll make it somewhat close. Plus, San Francisco may be dispirited from possibly watching the Seattle Seahawks lock up the NFC West.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars

Phil Sears-USA TODAY Sports

Once the season was pretty much over, the Jacksonville Jaguars players seemingly adopted a more carefree approach, one that has served them very well down the stretch. Jacksonville has improved a lot from the train wreck it was earlier in the season and won four of its last six.

That run began with a win over the Tennessee Titans back in Week 10, and it's hard to argue that the Jags aren't a better team this time around.

Meanwhile, the Titans are losers of five of their last six.

Much like the Bucs game, the Jaguars may not win, but they should at least keep this one close, with a field goal providing the difference.

Jacksonville is playing too well right now to count it out against a team struggling as much as the Titans are.

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