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A Must Read Before Your NFL Fantasy Draft

By (Contributor) on June 1, 2009

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NASHVILLE, TN - JANUARY 10:  Running back Chris Johnson #28 of the Tennessee Titans runs the ball in the first quarter against the Baltimore Ravens during the AFC Divisional Playoff Game on January 10, 2009 at LP Field in Nashville, Tennessee.  (Photo by

Although it is good to draft your fantasy team with your gut... its also important to look at the hard facts of what you are looking at when it means the most.

Most leagues have their playoffs in weeks 14 thru 16. They do this to avoid having the championship on week 17 where some players are benched or play sparingly to prevent a injury before the "REAL" playoffs.

I'm going to get to the point here, you can have the best team money can buy during the regular season and go undefeated. If you get to the playoffs and don't put up points... you LOSE!!!

I've broken down the generic top 4 players at each position along with an analysis of their match-ups for weeks 14, 15 and 16.

This technique isn't a testimony to what you should absolutely do, but please consider.

Running Backs

LAKE FOREST, IL - MAY 20: Matt Forte #22 of the Chicago Bears participates during an organized team activity (OTA) practice on May 20, 2009 at Halas Hall in Lake Forest, Illinois. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

Adrien Peterson: Cinn at home, at Car, at Chi

Michael Turner: NO at home, at NYJ, BUF at home

Matt Forte: GB at home, at BAL, MIN at home

DeAngelo Williams: at NE, MIN at home, at NYG

Turners matchups look juicy as New Orleans and the Jets can be beat on the ground. The other three don't look so appetizing! Williams might be the worst and remember he splits carries.

Forte and AP don't have easy roads... as you never want to see Minnesotta, Chicago or Baltimore on your schedule as a runningback.

Bargain rbs with light schedules;
Larry Johnson: BUF at home, CLE at home and at CIN
Chris Johnson: STL, MIA and SD all at home!!! how sweet is that?

Wide Receiver

DETROIT - NOVEMBER 23:  Wide receiver Calvin Johnson #84 of the Detroit Lions lines up during the NFL game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Ford Field on November 23, 2008 in Detroit, Michigan.  The Buccaneers defeated the Lions 38-20.  (Photo by Chris

Larry Fitzgerald: at SF, at DET, STL at home

Randy Moss: CAR at home, at BUF, JAC at home

Calvin Johnson: at BAL, ARZ at home, at SF

Andre Johnson: SEA at home, at STL, at MIA

While none of these matchup groups look really tough, Calvin Johnson at Baltimore during the first week of the playoffs could be a death wish. Remember also that wide receiver matchups are far different than running backs.

Playing Cup Cake teams for WRs can be a bad thing... if your runningbacks get the job done there's no reason to pass anymore, right? tricky tricky

Here are a couple wide receivers with great playoff matchups;

Roddy White: NO at home, at NYJ, BUF at home

TJ Houshmanzadeh: at HOU, TB at home, at GB

Tight Ends

GREEN BAY, WI - OCTOBER 19:  Tight end Dallas Clark #44 of the Indianapolis Colts carries the ball as he is tackled by linebacker Brandon Chillar #54 of the Green Bay Packers on October 19, 2008 at Lambeau Field in Green Bay Wisconsin. The Packers won 34-

Jason Witten: SD at home, at NO, at WAS

Antonio Gates: at DAL, CIN at home, at TEN

Tony Gonzales: NO at home, at NYJ, BUF at home

Dallas Clark: DEN at home, at JAC, NYJ at home

The tight-end position can be a bit of a challenge when looking at match-ups. You should however consider the tight-end as a blocker against teams with good pass rush abilities.

If Jason Witten has to protect his room-mate from getting sacked everyother down, it is pretty hard to catch passes! I really like Dallas Clark with the absence of Marvin Harrison.

Antonio Gates isn't as popular as he used to be, but make no mistake that when healthy he is almost impossible to cover. Tight-ends can be a big threat and more confident catching touchdowns at home.

Thought worthy alternatives;

Heath Miller: at CLE, GB at home, BAL at home

Kellen Winslow: NYJ at home, at SEA, at NO

Quarterbacks

TAMPA, FL - NOVEMBER 30: Quarterback Drew Brees #9 of the New Orleans Saints directs play against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium on November 30, 2008 in Tampa, Florida.  (Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images)

Tom Brady: CAR at home, at BUF, JAC at home

Drew Brees: at ATL, DAL at home, TB at home

Kurt Warner: at SF, at DET, STL at home

Peyton Manning: DEN at home, at JAC, NYJ at home

The hardest part of playing fantasy football is the ability to draft players that you HATE. Tom Brady is a fantasy nightmare to me.

I hate his guts as a member of the Pats, but I have the fantasy knowledge to use him as a fantasy player. Once you can get past that you will be closer to winning your league.

Warner clearly has the easiest fantasy playoff schedule of the four ,on paper that is.
Brees looks to have the toughest as I wouldn't want to put my money on playing at Atlanta then play late season matchups against Dallas and Tampa.

Possible qb steals;

Matt Ryan: NO at home, at NYJ, BUF at home

Matt Hasselback: at HOU, TB at home, at GB

It is important not to over-think your picks based on "WHAT IFS"... leave that to me

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