NFL Week 16 Picks: Last-Second Predictions for Marquee Games

Donald Wood@@Donald_WoodFeatured ColumnistDecember 22, 2013

OAKLAND, CA - DECEMBER 15:  Jamaal Charles #25 of the Kansas City Chiefs runs for a touchdown against the Oakland Raiders at Coliseum on December 15, 2013 in Oakland, California.  (Photo by Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images)
Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images

The NFL regular season has reached its penultimate week, and the focus has shifted to the Week 16 picks and predictions for all of Sunday’s marquee games.

With key battles in the AFC and NFC previewing potential playoff matchups, the expectations for a weekend filled with postseason-clinching scenarios make this one of the most anticipated weeks on the schedule.

Here are the predictions for every game against the spread and a last-second preview of the most pivotal games.


Week 16 NFL Picks Against the Spread
Away Team Home Team Spread Pick ATS
Miami Dolphins Buffalo Bills MIA -3 Dolphins
New Orleans Saints Carolina Panthers CAR -2.5 Panthers
Dallas Cowboys Washington Redskins DAL -3.5 Cowboys
Tampa Bay Buccaneers St. Louis Rams STL -4.5 Rams
Chicago Bears Philadelphia Eagles PHI -4 Eagles
Cleveland Browns N.Y. Jets NYJ -1 Browns
Indianapolis Colts Kansas City Chiefs KC -6.5 Colts
Minnesota Vikings Cincinnati Bengals CIN -8 Vikings
Denver Broncos Houston Texans DEN -9.5 Broncos
Tennessee Titans Jacksonville Jaguars TEN -4 Jaguars
Arizona Cardinals Seattle Seahawks SEA -9.5 Seahawks
N.Y. Giants Detroit Lions DET -9.5 Lions
Oakland Raiders San Diego Chargers SD -9.5 Raiders
Pittsburgh Steelers Green Bay Packers PK Packers
New England Patriots Baltimore Ravens BAL -1.5 Patriots
Atlanta Falcons San Francisco 49ers SF -10 Falcons
Source: Vegas Insider


OAKLAND, CA - DECEMBER 15:  Alex Smith #11 of the Kansas City Chiefs celebrates after a touchdown against the Oakland Raiders at Coliseum on December 15, 2013 in Oakland, California.  (Photo by Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images)
Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images

Kansas City Chiefs (11-3) vs. Indianapolis Colts (9-5)

The most exciting matchup of the weekend is the AFC battle between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Indianapolis Colts at Arrowhead Stadium.

Both teams are coming off a much-needed victory, but Kansas City has been the more consistent team this season, and that will be the ultimate difference Sunday. While Indianapolis can be hard to stop, the Colts have a tendency of being their own worst enemy.

As erratic as Indianapolis has been, Chiefs defensive coordinator Bob Sutton told Randy Covitz of The Kansas City Star how good Colts quarterback Andrew Luck really is:

He’s an exceptional talent. The two things that surprised our players the most is how fast he is. He’s legitimately fast. And he’s really strong. He’s a big man, he has a great arm, he can extend the play … he makes a lot of the right decisions. He’s been asked to do an awful lot and has done it awfully well.

The Chiefs still boast one of the most dominant defensive units in the NFL despite a porous stretch over the last month, and the inability for Indianapolis to find a consistent rushing attack led by Trent Richardson will give Kansas City ample opportunities to shine.

Led by Jamaal Charles and the 215 all-purpose yards and five touchdowns he amassed in Week 15 against the Oakland Raiders, the Chiefs offense is even more dangerous than the defense.

After the Colts allowed 42 points to a less talented Cincinnati Bengals team on Dec. 8, Kansas City should find the room to rack up big points on Indianapolis this Sunday.

Predicted Final Score: Kansas City 40, Indianapolis 30


Dec 15, 2013; Minneapolis, MN, USA; Philadelphia Eagles running back LeSean McCoy (25) carries the ball during the third quarter against the Minnesota Vikings at Mall of America Field at H.H.H. Metrodome. Mandatory Credit: Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sport
Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sport

Philadelphia Eagles (8-6) vs. Chicago Bears (8-6)

The entire NFL is looking forward to the NFC battle between the Philadelphia Eagles and Chicago Bears. With both teams fighting for a postseason berth, the action on the field is sure to be intense.

As well as Chicago has played at times this season, Philadelphia has the more explosive offense, and the matchup this Sunday couldn’t be any more perfect. The Eagles boast the league’s best rushing attack, and the Bears are ranked dead last, allowing 152.4 yards on the ground per game.

Running back LeSean McCoy will dominate that matchup.

McCoy saw limited rushing attempts against the Minnesota Vikings in Week 15 due to the deficit his team faced throughout the game, but this is a player who amassed 221 all-purpose yards and two touchdowns against the gaudy run defense of the Detroit Lions on Dec. 8.

There is no question that Chicago boasts a talented offense of its own led by running back Matt Forte and the receiver combination of Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery. With Nick Foles performing at a high level and Philadelphia playing inside the friendly confines of Lincoln Financial Field, though, the Eagles will steal the show in this high-scoring matchup.

Predicted Final Score: Philadelphia 34, Chicago 27


MIAMI GARDENS, FL - DECEMBER 15:  Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots looks on prior to the game against the Miami Dolphins at Sun Life Stadium on December 15, 2013 in Miami Gardens, Florida.  (Photo by Chris Trotman/Getty Images)
Chris Trotman/Getty Images

New England Patriots (10-4) vs. Baltimore Ravens (8-6)

The New England Patriots and Baltimore Ravens have become very familiar with each other over the last several years as two of the perennial AFC Super Bowl contenders, but the Patriots will be looking to send a message to the entire league this week.

Despite a string of injuries this season, New England is still a legitimate postseason threat.

Baltimore has won four straight games leading into Sunday’s game, and the credit goes to the defense and special teams. The Ravens have not met an offense during their winning streak that pushes them like the Patriots will in Week 16, and the team will fold under the pressure.

New England’s defense is far from perfect, but it will be Baltimore’s secondary that will be most susceptible this Sunday. The Ravens have allowed 231.6 yards passing per game, and Tom Brady will take advantage of his chances to make big plays.

Baltimore will keep the score close, but New England has too much talent to lose this game.

Predicted Final Score: New England 27, Baltimore 20


*Stats via Betting information via Vegas Insider.


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