Capital One Bowl Betting Odds: Wisconsin vs. South Carolina Analysis, Prediction

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistDecember 20, 2013

COLUMBIA, SC - NOVEMBER 30:  Connor Shaw #14 of the South Carolina Gamecocks celebrates after a play on the way to defeating the Clemson Tigers 31-17 at Williams-Brice Stadium on November 30, 2013 in Columbia, South Carolina.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

The Wisconsin Badgers head into the postseason after having its regular season end with a loss to Penn State in a setback that ended a six-game winning streak.

Meanwhile, the South Carolina Gamecocks arrive at the Capital One Bowl on a five-game winning streak, including a season-ending victory over Clemson and Tajh Boyd.


Capital One Bowl point spread

The Badgers opened as two-point favorites with the total 49.5 in early wagering. See line updates and matchup report.


Odds Shark computer prediction

Badgers, 33.6-27.2


Why Wisconsin can cover the spread

The Badgers (9-3) have covered their last four non-conference clashes. They have shown offensive and defensive prowess in most of their wins, and it appears each unit feeds off the other. Wisconsin didn't allow opponents to reach double digits in points in four of its last seven games and had one of the most prolific scoring offenses in the nation, averaging nearly 500 yards per game.

On the flip side, the Badgers' defense allowed a mere 294 yards per contest during the regular season and just 14.8 points per game. They were cover machines in 2013 with a 9-3 ATS streak.


Why South Carolina can cover the spread

The Gamecocks (10-2) appear to be just as balanced as the Badgers on both sides of the ball. South Carolina averages 453.5 yards per game, but it gives up a bit more than Wisconsin at 345 yards per game.

Regardless, the Gamecocks are very tough in the trenches and can cause problems with defensive end Jadeveon Clowney, who has said he's healthy for this game.

The Gamecocks put up 34.1 points per game and allow just 20. Add Ol' Ball Coach Steve Spurrier and it's hard to argue against this SEC team.

The Capital One Bowl betting history is marked by the SEC covering the spread (4-1 ATS in the past five editions) and South Carolina has performed well in bowl action against the Big Ten.


Smart Pick

It's always tough to go against a Badgers team that is rich in postseason bowl tradition. That's why No. 19 Wisconsin is the smart play against the eighth-ranked Gamecocks on New Year's Day.

Clowney came into the season with more hype than any defensive player has in recent memory, but he ended up with a mere three sacks this season. Yes, the biggest hit of his career was in a bowl game last year against Big Ten Michigan in the Outback Bowl, but he's been slowed by injuries all season.

Wisconsin is in on an additional ATS win streak of 10-2, while South Carolina has failed to cover four of its last five bowl games.


Capital One Bowl Trends:

  • SEC is 4-1 ATS in the past five Capital One bowls versus the Big Ten
  • South Carolina is 1-4 ATS in the past five bowl games
  • Wisconsin is 9-3 ATS in the past 12 games in 2013
  • South Carolina is 4-1 SU in bowls versus the Big Ten since 1999


Note: All spread and odds data by Odds Shark.

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