Week 16 NFL Predictions: Stone-Cold Locks Against the Spread

Alex KayCorrespondent IDecember 19, 2013

Dec 15, 2013; Arlington, TX, USA; Dallas Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo (9) signals at the line of scrimmage against the Green Bay Packers at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports
Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

Week 16 of the 2013 NFL season is a hugely important one for many NFL teams, although it should be noted that it is also relatively meaningless for a handful of squads.

This disparity could end up playing an important role in the outcome of many contests, which is why gamblers shouldn’t go to the sportsbook without being armed with the latest lines and information on every matchup.

If you are looking to make an informed decision, keep reading for the updated spreads for the upcoming slate of games, my picks for the winner of each, plus a closer look at some of Sunday’s stone-cold locks worth a big bet.

NFL Week 16 Lines and Predictions
Away TeamHome TeamPick (Spread)
Miami DolphinsBuffalo BillsBills (+3)
New Orleans SaintsCarolina PanthersPanthers (-3)
Dallas CowboysWashington RedskinsCowboys (-2.5)
Tampa Bay BuccaneersSt. Louis RamsRams (-5.5)
Cleveland BrownsNew York JetsBrowns (+2)
Indianapolis ColtsKansas City ChiefsChiefs (-6.5)
Minnesota VikingsCincinnati BengalsBengals (-8)
Denver BroncosHouston TexansBroncos (-10)
Tennessee TitansJacksonville JaguarsJaguars (+5.5)
Arizona CardinalsSeattle SeahawksSeahawks (-10)
New York GiantsDetroit LionsLions (-9.5)
Oakland RaidersSan Diego ChargersChargers (-10)
Pittsburgh SteelersGreen Bay PackersN/A
New England PatriotsBaltimore RavensPatriots (+2.5)
Chicago BearsPhiladelphia EaglesBears (+3)
Atlanta FalconsSan Francisco 49ers49ers (-10)

Dallas Cowboys (-2.5) over Washington Redskins

The Cowboys haven’t been faring well against the ‘Skins against the spread as of late, going just 2-6 over the last eight meetings, but they’ll easily notch another “W” in both the actual and ATS column on Sunday.

Washington is in the midst of an epic collapse, having benched Robert Griffin III for Kirk Cousins with coach Mike Shanahan hanging on to his job by a thread. The team has lost four straight against the spread in the division and is highly likely to push that streak to five at the conclusion of this matchup.

The Redskins haven’t won a game since Week 9 against the San Diego Chargers and lost by 15 points on the road in Dallas in Week 6. While the Cowboys’ defense is downright atrocious, arguably the worst in the league, they will still be opportunistic and stingy enough to make a few stops, create a few turnovers and walk away with a much-needed victory.

Remember, Dallas is playing for its postseason life, as a victory will turn Week 17’s meeting with the Philadelphia Eagles into a NFC East championship game. Washington is just hoping for the offseason to get here so the team brass can pick up the pieces, make the proper adjustments and hope to bounce back in 2014.

Don’t buy into the hype surrounding Tony Romo’s alleged poor play in December, as Bleacher Report’s Brad Gagnon broke down the numbers and found he’s traditionally been a fine quarterback late in the year.

While his collapse against the Green Bay Packers was painful, it hasn’t broke the veteran signal-caller, and he will bounce back with an epic performance against a Redskins secondary that concedes over 250 yards per game to opposing passers.

Go with the chalk here and cash your ticket after Dallas takes care of business in a must-win scenario.

New England Patriots (+2.5) over Baltimore Ravens

This game has been flexed out of the prime-time Sunday Night Football slot, but it will still provide marquee action in the mid-afternoon. If you are looking to make this intense rivalry a bit more exciting, it’ll be wise to back the side that is going to win.

That is more than likely going to be the Pats, who are coming off a brutal loss to the Miami Dolphins. That defeat means New England still isn’t guaranteed to make the playoffs, let alone win the AFC East.

Expect Tom Brady, Bill Belichick and Co. to bounce back like they always do. This team is 19-9 against the spread in the last 28 games it has played after a loss against the spread.

Sep 8, 2013; Orchard Park, NY, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady (12) talks with head coach Bill Belichick late in the fourth quarter against the Buffalo Bills at Ralph Wilson Stadium. Patriots beat the Bills 23-21. Mandatory Credit: Kevin H
Kevin Hoffman-USA TODAY Sports

The Pats are also 35-17-1 in the last 53 contests they have been involved with following a straight loss, which means you can confidently get behind this hungry, motivated group. New England is eyeing a playoff spot and has a chance to beat a bitter enemy—one that eliminated this squad in the AFC Championship game last season—in the process.

Baltimore hasn’t been great at covering in the month of December, cashing tickets in just two of the last 10 games it has played this month. That bodes well for the visiting team, especially if the Ravens cannot find the end zone again in Week 16.

The defending Super Bowl champs managed to knock off the Detroit Lions by kicking six field goals in Week 15, but they won’t be as fortunate against New England.

Unless the Ravens find a way to score a flurry of touchdowns, they are going to come up short this Sunday.


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